vs
⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Monday 15 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens.
Result: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.28, landed.
Saudi Arabia met Uruguay in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens, finishing 1-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Uruguay win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 0.7-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 89%. On the match result, the model rates an Uruguay win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean under 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points no (74%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.77 (+29.9% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Saudi Arabia at 12% to win and Uruguay at 60%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Uruguay win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 28% | 4.00 | +12.8% |
| Uruguay Win | 60% | 1.51 | -9.7% |
| Saudi Arabia Win | 12% | 7.00 | -16.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Saudi Arabia or the draw at 2.50 (40% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 40% | 2.50 | +0.5% |
| Uruguay or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 88% | 1.10 | -3.2% |
| Saudi Arabia or Uruguay – Double Chance (12) | 72% | 1.18 | -15.3% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-1.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 73% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 47% | 3.20 | +49.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 73% | 1.77 | +29.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 89% | 1.28 | +14.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 53% | 1.33 | -29.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 2.00 | -46.8% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 3.60 | -61.5% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 74%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 74% | 1.67 | +23.1% |
| BTTS Yes | 26% | 2.10 | -44.8% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Saudi Arabia or Uruguay is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia +1.5 | 70% | 1.62 | +13.7% |
| Saudi Arabia +2.5 | 89% | 1.19 | +5.4% |
| Saudi Arabia +0.5 | 40% | 2.60 | +4.5% |
| Saudi Arabia +4.5 | 99% | 1.01 | +0.1% |
| Saudi Arabia +3.5 | 96% | 1.01 | -2.5% |
| Saudi Arabia -0.5 | 12% | 6.80 | -18.4% |
| Saudi Arabia -1.5 | 2% | 13.00 | -70.1% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay prediction correct?
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay finished 1-1. Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.28, landed.
What is the prediction for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 89% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.77 (+29.9% value).
Who is the favourite for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
Our model makes an Uruguay win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 0.7-1.8 scoreline for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay.
What is the predicted score for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 0.73 for Saudi Arabia and 1.82 for Uruguay. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Saudi Arabia and Uruguay play?
Kick-off is Monday 15 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens.
Where is Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay being played?
The match takes place at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
More World Cup predictions
Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.