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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Iran vs New Zealand Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Iran vs New Zealand at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Tuesday 16 June 2026, 01:00 UTC at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood.
Result: Iran 2-2 New Zealand
Iran vs New Zealand finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Iran or the draw at 1.22, landed.
Iran met New Zealand in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood, finishing 2-2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Iran win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.4-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Iran vs New Zealand with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.2% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Iran vs New Zealand is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Iran or the draw at odds 1.22, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates an Iran win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (54%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.35 (+27.6% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Iran at 56% to win and New Zealand at 21%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes an Iran win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Win | 56% | 1.88 | +4.7% |
| New Zealand Win | 21% | 4.40 | -5.8% |
| Draw | 23% | 3.35 | -23.3% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Iran or New Zealand (draw excluded) at 1.28 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran or New Zealand – Double Chance (12) | 77% | 1.28 | -1.3% |
| Iran or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 79% | 1.22 | -4.1% |
| New Zealand or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 44% | 1.85 | -18.0% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 4.50 | +44.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 2.35 | +27.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 1.45 | +12.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 1.20 | -18.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 1.57 | -28.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 2.70 | -40.1% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 2.10 | +13.4% |
| BTTS No | 46% | 1.67 | -23.2% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Iran or New Zealand is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran -2.5 | 15% | 8.60 | +25.6% |
| Iran -1.5 | 32% | 3.55 | +12.5% |
| Iran -0.5 | 56% | 1.91 | +6.4% |
| Iran +2.5 | 98% | 1.01 | -1.2% |
| Iran +0.5 | 79% | 1.21 | -4.9% |
| Iran +1.5 | 92% | 1.03 | -4.9% |
| Iran -3.5 | 6% | 13.00 | -27.2% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Iran vs New Zealand prediction correct?
Iran vs New Zealand finished 2-2. Our pre-match best bet, Iran or the draw at 1.22, landed.
What is the prediction for Iran vs New Zealand?
Our main pick is Iran or the draw at odds 1.22, with 79% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.35 (+27.6% value).
Who is the favourite for Iran vs New Zealand?
Our model makes an Iran win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.4-0.8 scoreline for Iran vs New Zealand.
What is the predicted score for Iran vs New Zealand?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Iran and 0.85 for New Zealand. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Iran and New Zealand play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 16 June 2026, 01:00 UTC at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood.
Where is Iran vs New Zealand being played?
The match takes place at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.