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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Ghana vs Panama Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ghana vs Panama at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Wednesday 17 June 2026, 23:00 UTC at BMO Field – Toronto.
Result: Ghana 1-0 Panama
Ghana vs Panama finished 1-0. Ghana won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Ghana met Panama in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at BMO Field – Toronto, finishing 1-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Panama win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.3-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ghana vs Panama with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Ghana vs Panama is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Panama win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (54%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Panama or the draw at odds 1.62 (+15.3% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Ghana at 29% to win and Panama at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Panama win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panama Win | 46% | 3.35 | +53.4% |
| Draw | 25% | 3.20 | -18.7% |
| Ghana Win | 29% | 2.24 | -35.5% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Panama or the draw at 1.62 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panama or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 71% | 1.62 | +15.3% |
| Ghana or Panama – Double Chance (12) | 75% | 1.30 | -3.0% |
| Ghana or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 54% | 1.30 | -29.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 4.33 | +21.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.30 | +15.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 1.42 | +6.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 72% | 1.20 | -13.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.60 | -20.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 25% | 2.80 | -29.2% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.95 | +4.3% |
| BTTS No | 46% | 1.77 | -17.7% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Ghana or Panama is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ghana +2.5 | 91% | 1.01 | -8.3% |
| Ghana +1.5 | 77% | 1.04 | -19.9% |
| Ghana +0.5 | 54% | 1.32 | -28.5% |
| Ghana -0.5 | 29% | 2.20 | -36.6% |
| Ghana -1.5 | 12% | 4.40 | -49.4% |
| Ghana -2.5 | 4% | 9.50 | -65.8% |
| Ghana -3.5 | 1% | 27.00 | -75.7% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Ghana vs Panama prediction correct?
Ghana vs Panama finished 1-0.
What is the prediction for Ghana vs Panama?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Panama or the draw at 1.62 (+15.3% value).
Who is the favourite for Ghana vs Panama?
Our model makes a Panama win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.0 scoreline for Ghana vs Panama.
What is the predicted score for Ghana vs Panama?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Ghana and 1.02 for Panama. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Ghana and Panama play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 17 June 2026, 23:00 UTC at BMO Field – Toronto.
Where is Ghana vs Panama being played?
The match takes place at BMO Field – Toronto, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.