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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Uzbekistan vs Colombia Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Uzbekistan vs Colombia at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Thursday 18 June 2026, 02:00 UTC at Estadio Banorte – Mexico City.
Result: Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia
Uzbekistan vs Colombia finished 1-3. Colombia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.33, did not land.
Uzbekistan met Colombia in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Estadio Banorte – Mexico City, finishing 1-3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Colombia win the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 0.7-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Uzbekistan vs Colombia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Uzbekistan vs Colombia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Colombia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (59%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Uzbekistan with a +1.5 start at odds 1.70 (+11.9% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Uzbekistan at 15% to win and Colombia at 61%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Colombia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan Win | 15% | 8.50 | +30.9% |
| Draw | 24% | 4.50 | +7.1% |
| Colombia Win | 61% | 1.39 | -15.5% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Uzbekistan or the draw at 2.95 (39% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 39% | 2.95 | +15.6% |
| Colombia or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 85% | 1.05 | -11.2% |
| Uzbekistan or Colombia – Double Chance (12) | 76% | 1.15 | -12.4% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-2.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 31% | 3.45 | +7.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.85 | +6.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 1.33 | +4.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 1.30 | -10.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 1.90 | -19.1% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 3.25 | -29.1% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.62 | -4.6% |
| BTTS Yes | 41% | 2.15 | -11.6% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Uzbekistan or Colombia is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan +0.5 | 39% | 3.10 | +21.5% |
| Uzbekistan +1.5 | 66% | 1.70 | +11.9% |
| Uzbekistan -0.5 | 15% | 7.00 | +7.8% |
| Uzbekistan +2.5 | 85% | 1.26 | +6.8% |
| Uzbekistan +4.5 | 98% | 1.02 | +0.3% |
| Uzbekistan +3.5 | 94% | 1.03 | -2.7% |
| Uzbekistan -1.5 | 4% | 23.00 | -3.4% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Uzbekistan vs Colombia prediction correct?
Uzbekistan vs Colombia finished 1-3. Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.33, did not land.
What is the prediction for Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Uzbekistan with a +1.5 start at 1.70 (+11.9% value).
Who is the favourite for Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Our model makes a Colombia win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 0.7-2.0 scoreline for Uzbekistan vs Colombia.
What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 0.67 for Uzbekistan and 1.98 for Colombia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Uzbekistan and Colombia play?
Kick-off is Thursday 18 June 2026, 02:00 UTC at Estadio Banorte – Mexico City.
Where is Uzbekistan vs Colombia being played?
The match takes place at Estadio Banorte – Mexico City, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.