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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Canada vs Qatar Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Canada vs Qatar at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Thursday 18 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at BC Place – Vancouver.
Result: Canada 6-0 Qatar
Canada vs Qatar finished 6-0. Canada won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Canada met Qatar in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at BC Place – Vancouver, finishing 6-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Canada win the most likely result at 76%, projecting a 2.2-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Canada vs Qatar with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 14.0% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Canada vs Qatar is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is a Canada win at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Canada win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 76%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (59%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Canada to win at odds 1.45 (+10.3% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Canada at 76% to win and Qatar at 8%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes a Canada win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada Win | 76% | 1.28 | -2.6% |
| Qatar Win | 8% | 11.00 | -13.1% |
| Draw | 16% | 5.10 | -18.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Canada or the draw at 1.04 (92% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 92% | 1.04 | -4.2% |
| Canada or Qatar – Double Chance (12) | 84% | 1.14 | -4.2% |
| Qatar or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 24% | 3.55 | -15.2% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-0.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 1.22 | -3.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 67% | 1.44 | -4.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.70 | -5.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.10 | -7.0% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 2.70 | -9.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 21% | 4.20 | -11.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.62 | -3.9% |
| BTTS Yes | 41% | 2.15 | -12.5% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Canada or Qatar is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada -0.5 | 76% | 1.45 | +10.3% |
| Canada +0.5 | 92% | 1.10 | +1.3% |
| Canada +1.5 | 98% | 1.01 | -0.8% |
| Canada -1.5 | 52% | 1.80 | -5.5% |
| Canada -2.5 | 30% | 3.00 | -10.0% |
| Canada -3.5 | 14% | 5.90 | -15.6% |
| Canada -4.5 | 6% | 12.50 | -27.5% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Canada vs Qatar prediction correct?
Canada vs Qatar finished 6-0.
What is the prediction for Canada vs Qatar?
Our main pick is a Canada win at odds 1.28, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Canada to win at 1.45 (+10.3% value).
Who is the favourite for Canada vs Qatar?
Our model makes a Canada win the most likely result at 76%. It projects an expected 2.2-0.6 scoreline for Canada vs Qatar.
What is the predicted score for Canada vs Qatar?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.25 for Canada and 0.65 for Qatar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Canada and Qatar play?
Kick-off is Thursday 18 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at BC Place – Vancouver.
Where is Canada vs Qatar being played?
The match takes place at BC Place – Vancouver, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.