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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Brazil vs Haiti Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brazil vs Haiti at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Saturday 20 June 2026, 00:30 UTC at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia.
Result: Brazil 3-0 Haiti
Brazil vs Haiti finished 3-0. Brazil won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, over 2.5 goals at 1.30, landed.
Brazil met Haiti in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, finishing 3-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Brazil win the most likely result at 88%, projecting a 3.1-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brazil vs Haiti with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 11.6% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Brazil vs Haiti is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Brazil win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 88%. Goals lean over 2.5 (81%), both teams to score points yes (52%). Separately, the biggest gap between our model and the bookmaker price is both teams to score at odds 2.25 (+17.2% model edge).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Brazil at 88% to win and Haiti at 4%, with the draw at 8%. Our model makes a Brazil win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil Win | 88% | 1.10 | -3.7% |
| Haiti Win | 4% | 18.00 | -22.6% |
| Draw | 8% | 9.40 | -22.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brazil or the draw at 1.02 (96% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 96% | 1.02 | -2.4% |
| Brazil or Haiti – Double Chance (12) | 92% | 1.05 | -3.6% |
| Haiti or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 12% | 6.50 | -18.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.1-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 81% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 1.83 | +15.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | 1.30 | +5.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 1.08 | +0.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 37% | 1.95 | -27.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | 3.35 | -35.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 7% | 7.50 | -48.2% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 2.25 | +17.2% |
| BTTS No | 48% | 1.57 | -24.8% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Brazil or Haiti is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil -4.5 | 20% | 5.00 | -1.0% |
| Brazil +0.5 | 96% | 1.02 | -2.4% |
| Brazil -2.5 | 54% | 1.80 | -3.3% |
| Brazil -0.5 | 88% | 1.10 | -3.7% |
| Brazil -1.5 | 73% | 1.32 | -3.9% |
| Brazil -5.5 | 10% | 8.50 | -15.0% |
| Brazil -3.5 | 35% | 2.10 | -26.9% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Brazil vs Haiti prediction correct?
Brazil vs Haiti finished 3-0. Our pre-match best bet, over 2.5 goals at 1.30, landed.
What is the prediction for Brazil vs Haiti?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 81% model probability. The biggest separate model edge is both teams to score at 2.25 (+17.2% model edge).
Who is the favourite for Brazil vs Haiti?
Our model makes a Brazil win the most likely result at 88%. It projects an expected 3.1-0.7 scoreline for Brazil vs Haiti.
What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Haiti?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.08 for Brazil and 0.66 for Haiti. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Brazil and Haiti play?
Kick-off is Saturday 20 June 2026, 00:30 UTC at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia.
Where is Brazil vs Haiti being played?
The match takes place at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
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