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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Belgium vs Iran Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Belgium vs Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Sunday 21 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood.
Result: Belgium 0-0 Iran
Belgium vs Iran finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.25, did not land.
Belgium met Iran in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood, finishing 0-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Belgium win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.0-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Belgium vs Iran with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 12.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Belgium vs Iran is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Belgium win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Iran or the draw at odds 2.80 (+49.8% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Belgium at 46% to win and Iran at 29%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Belgium win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Win | 29% | 7.20 | +108.1% |
| Draw | 25% | 4.40 | +8.2% |
| Belgium Win | 46% | 1.42 | -34.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Iran or the draw at 2.80 (54% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 54% | 2.80 | +49.8% |
| Belgium or Iran – Double Chance (12) | 75% | 1.15 | -13.3% |
| Belgium or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 71% | 1.08 | -23.2% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.80 | -3.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 1.25 | -3.1% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 3.00 | -5.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 1.38 | -5.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.00 | -7.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 3.75 | -15.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.95 | +10.2% |
| BTTS No | 44% | 1.77 | -23.0% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Belgium or Iran is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium +1.5 | 88% | 1.01 | -11.0% |
| Belgium +0.5 | 71% | 1.10 | -21.8% |
| Belgium -0.5 | 46% | 1.40 | -34.9% |
| Belgium -1.5 | 24% | 2.20 | -47.0% |
| Belgium -2.5 | 10% | 4.00 | -60.0% |
| Belgium -3.5 | 3% | 7.20 | -75.5% |
| Belgium -4.5 | 1% | 18.00 | -82.0% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Belgium vs Iran prediction correct?
Belgium vs Iran finished 0-0. Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.25, did not land.
What is the prediction for Belgium vs Iran?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Iran or the draw at 2.80 (+49.8% value).
Who is the favourite for Belgium vs Iran?
Our model makes a Belgium win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.8 scoreline for Belgium vs Iran.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Iran?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.01 for Belgium and 0.77 for Iran. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Belgium and Iran play?
Kick-off is Sunday 21 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood.
Where is Belgium vs Iran being played?
The match takes place at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.