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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
New Zealand vs Egypt Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New Zealand vs Egypt at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Monday 22 June 2026, 01:00 UTC at BC Place – Vancouver.
Result: New Zealand 1-3 Egypt
New Zealand vs Egypt finished 1-3. Egypt won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.25, did not land.
New Zealand met Egypt in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at BC Place – Vancouver, finishing 1-3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Egypt win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 0.7-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New Zealand vs Egypt with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for New Zealand vs Egypt is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Egypt win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points no (58%). Separately, the biggest gap between our model and the bookmaker price is New Zealand to win or draw at odds 2.35 (+32.1% model edge).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices New Zealand at 27% to win and Egypt at 44%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes an Egypt win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand Win | 27% | 6.00 | +63.2% |
| Draw | 29% | 3.95 | +14.5% |
| Egypt Win | 44% | 1.54 | -32.5% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New Zealand or the draw at 2.30 (56% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 56% | 2.30 | +29.3% |
| New Zealand or Egypt – Double Chance (12) | 71% | 1.20 | -14.8% |
| Egypt or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 73% | 1.13 | -17.7% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-1.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 64% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 37% | 3.10 | +14.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.73 | +10.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 83% | 1.25 | +3.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 1.35 | -14.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.10 | -23.8% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 3.80 | -35.4% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.65 | -5.0% |
| BTTS Yes | 42% | 2.10 | -11.0% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when New Zealand or Egypt is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand -0.5 | 27% | 5.75 | +56.4% |
| New Zealand +0.5 | 56% | 2.35 | +32.1% |
| New Zealand +1.5 | 80% | 1.48 | +19.1% |
| New Zealand +2.5 | 93% | 1.15 | +7.3% |
| New Zealand -1.5 | 9% | 11.00 | +2.3% |
| New Zealand +3.5 | 98% | 1.03 | +1.1% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the New Zealand vs Egypt prediction correct?
New Zealand vs Egypt finished 1-3. Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.25, did not land.
What is the prediction for New Zealand vs Egypt?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 83% model probability. The biggest separate model edge is New Zealand to win or draw at 2.35 (+32.1% model edge).
Who is the favourite for New Zealand vs Egypt?
Our model makes an Egypt win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 0.7-1.7 scoreline for New Zealand vs Egypt.
What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Egypt?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 0.75 for New Zealand and 1.73 for Egypt. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do New Zealand and Egypt play?
Kick-off is Monday 22 June 2026, 01:00 UTC at BC Place – Vancouver.
Where is New Zealand vs Egypt being played?
The match takes place at BC Place – Vancouver, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.