⚽ Major League Soccer
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: FC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC finished 1-0. FC Dallas won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, FC Dallas or Draw at 1.44, landed.
FC Dallas face Los Angeles FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Dallas have 3 wins from their last 5, while Los Angeles FC have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, FC Dallas won 3, Los Angeles FC won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Dallas win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (62%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between FC Dallas and Los Angeles FC. Wins shown from FC Dallas’s perspective: FC Dallas 3 · Los Angeles FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | FC Dallas | 1 – 0 | Los Angeles FC | W |
| 2024-09-22 | FC Dallas | 3 – 1 | Los Angeles FC | W |
| 2024-06-02 | Los Angeles FC | 1 – 0 | FC Dallas | L |
| 2023-07-02 | FC Dallas | 2 – 0 | Los Angeles FC | W |
| 2023-03-26 | Los Angeles FC | 2 – 1 | FC Dallas | L |
📈 Recent form
FC Dallas come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Los Angeles FC.
- WFC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- WMinnesota United FC 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Los Angeles FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to New York Red Bulls. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at FC Dallas.
- LFC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- R. BinyaminInternational duty
- Geovane JesusKnee Injury
- B. KamungoInternational duty
- P. MusaInternational duty
- RamiroSuspended (cards)
- D. BouangaInternational duty
- M. ChoiniereInternational duty
- T. HasalArm Injury
- A. LongSuspended (red card)
- J. ShaffelburgInternational duty
- J. TerryInternational duty
- T. TillmanInjury
- L. WaltaInternational duty
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FC Dallas at 42% to win and Los Angeles FC at 31%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas Win | 42% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Los Angeles FC Win | 31% | 29% | @ 3.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Dallas or Draw at 1.36 (69% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas or Draw | 69% | 71% | @ 1.36 |
| Los Angeles FC or Draw | 58% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 75% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 | 62% | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 38% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Dallas or Los Angeles FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas +1.5 | 87% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Los Angeles FC +1.75 | 83% | 82% | 1.16 |
| FC Dallas +1.25 | 82% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Los Angeles FC +1.5 | 80% | 76% | 1.23 |
| FC Dallas +1 | 78% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Los Angeles FC +1.25 | 74% | 74% | 1.28 |
| FC Dallas +0.75 | 73% | – | 1.25 |
| Los Angeles FC +1 | 69% | 71% | 1.34 |
| FC Dallas +0.5 | 69% | – | 1.38 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.75 | 63% | 62% | 1.52 |
| FC Dallas +0.25 | 62% | – | 1.47 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.5 | 58% | 56% | 1.70 |
| FC Dallas 0 | 56% | 59% | 1.62 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.25 | 51% | 49% | @ 1.98 |
| FC Dallas -0.25 | 49% | 51% | 1.88 |
| Los Angeles FC 0 | 44% | 41% | @ 2.35 |
| FC Dallas -0.5 | 42% | 44% | 2.19 |
| FC Dallas -0.75 | 37% | 38% | 2.54 |
| FC Dallas -1 | 31% | 29% | @ 3.31 |
| FC Dallas -1.25 | 26% | 26% | 3.67 |
| Los Angeles FC -1 | 22% | 20% | @ 4.80 |
| FC Dallas -1.5 | 20% | 24% | 4.00 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.25 | 18% | 17% | 5.50 |
| FC Dallas -1.75 | 17% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.5 | 13% | 16% | 5.90 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?
Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC.
What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.71 for FC Dallas and 1.43 for Los Angeles FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FC Dallas and Los Angeles FC play?
Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


