⚽ Major League Soccer
Austin vs San Diego Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Austin vs San Diego in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Austin 3-3 San Diego
Austin vs San Diego finished 3-3. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Austin or Draw at 1.40, landed.
Austin face San Diego in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Austin have 2 wins from their last 5, while San Diego have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, San Diego won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Austin win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Austin vs San Diego with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Austin vs San Diego comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Austin with a +1 start at odds 1.25, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Austin win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (60%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Austin and San Diego. Wins shown from Austin’s perspective: 1 drawn · San Diego 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Austin | 3 – 3 | San Diego | D |
| 2026-05-14 | San Diego | 5 – 0 | Austin | L |
📈 Recent form
Austin come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Vancouver Whitecaps.
- DAustin 3-3 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- WVancouver Whitecaps 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 1-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
San Diego come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at home to Philadelphia Union.
- DAustin 3-3 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- LSan Diego 0-5 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- LSan Diego 2-3 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LOrlando City SC 1-0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Guilherme BiroSuspended (cards)
- P. PlachetaLower-Body Injury
- J. RosalesSuspended (cards)
- M. UzuniInternational duty
- E. AchouriInternational duty
- Gabriel PiraniInjury
- A. PellegrinoLower-Body Injury
- O. ValakariInternational duty
- S. VinesLower-Body Injury
- dos Santos CJInternational duty
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Austin at 45% to win and San Diego at 26%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Austin win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Win | 45% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| San Diego Win | 26% | 39% | @ 2.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Austin or Draw at 1.50 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin or Draw | 72% | 61% | @ 1.50 |
| San Diego or Draw | 53% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 62% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 40% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Austin or San Diego is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin +1.75 | 91% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Austin +1.5 | 89% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Austin +1.25 | 85% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Austin +1 | 81% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| San Diego +1.75 | 80% | 84% | 1.12 |
| San Diego +1.5 | 77% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Austin +0.75 | 76% | 69% | @ 1.39 |
| Austin +0.5 | 72% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| San Diego +1.25 | 71% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Austin +0.25 | 66% | 57% | @ 1.68 |
| San Diego +1 | 65% | – | 1.25 |
| Austin 0 | 59% | 48% | @ 2.01 |
| San Diego +0.75 | 59% | 69% | 1.39 |
| San Diego +0.5 | 53% | 63% | 1.52 |
| Austin -0.25 | 53% | 43% | @ 2.25 |
| San Diego +0.25 | 47% | 57% | 1.67 |
| Austin -0.5 | 47% | 37% | @ 2.56 |
| Austin -0.75 | 41% | 31% | @ 3.04 |
| San Diego 0 | 41% | 52% | 1.84 |
| San Diego -0.25 | 34% | 43% | 2.23 |
| Austin -1.25 | 29% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| San Diego -0.5 | 28% | 38% | 2.52 |
| San Diego -0.75 | 24% | 31% | 3.06 |
| Austin -1.5 | 23% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Austin -1.75 | 20% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| San Diego -1 | 19% | 24% | 4.02 |
| San Diego -1.25 | 15% | 21% | 4.40 |
| San Diego -1.5 | 11% | 20% | 4.80 |
| San Diego -1.75 | 9% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Austin vs San Diego?
Our model's main pick is Austin with a +1 start at odds 1.25, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Austin vs San Diego?
Our model makes an Austin win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Austin vs San Diego.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs San Diego?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.72 for Austin and 1.38 for San Diego. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Austin and San Diego play?
Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Cruzeirovs
Sao PauloBrazilian Série AThu 8 Oct00:30
Santosvs
FlamengoBrazilian Série AFlamengo Asian Handicap -0.0@ 1.35Thu 8 Oct22:30
Atletico Paranaensevs
Atletico-MGBrazilian Série AOver 1.5@ 1.33Thu 8 Oct23:00
Palmeirasvs
BahiaBrazilian Série AFri 9 Oct00:30
Fluminensevs
CoritibaBrazilian Série AFri 9 Oct00:30
FC Rostovvs
AkronPremier LeagueFri 9 Oct16:30Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.