Serbia

Thu 24 Sep18:45Upcoming

Greece

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Serbia vs Greece Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Serbia vs Greece in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Serbia face Greece in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Serbia win the most likely result at 36%, implying a 1.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Serbia vs Greece with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Serbia win	36%
Draw	30%
Greece win	35%
Over 2.5 goals	45%
Both teams to score	50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.25 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	10.4%	6.2%	2.5%	0.7%
1	10.8%	12.9%	7.8%	3.1%	0.9%
2	6.7%	8.1%	4.9%	1.9%	0.6%
3	2.8%	3.4%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Serbia winDrawGreece win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Serbia vs Greece. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Serbia win is the most likely result at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Serbia 36%Draw 30%Greece 35%

36%30%35%

36%

Serbia Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Serbia

Serbia come into this game with 1 win from their last 4, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Saudi Arabia. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at Mexico.

LMexico 5-1 SerbiaFriendlies
LCape Verde Islands 3-0 SerbiaFriendlies
WSerbia 2-1 Saudi ArabiaFriendlies
LSpain 3-0 SerbiaFriendlies

Greece

Greece come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 4, scoring 2 and conceding 4. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Italy.

LGreece 0-1 ItalyFriendlies
DSweden 2-2 GreeceFriendlies
DHungary 0-0 GreeceFriendlies
LGreece 0-1 ParaguayFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Serbia at 36% to win and Greece at 35%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes a Serbia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Serbia Win	36%	@ 2.70
Greece Win	35%	@ 2.75
Draw	30%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Serbia or Draw at 1.40 (65% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Serbia or Draw	65%	@ 1.40
Greece or Draw	64%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.25
Over 1.5	69%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	55%	@ 1.70
Over 2.5	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	31%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.83

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Serbia vs Greece?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Serbia win is the most likely result at 36%.

Who is the favourite for Serbia vs Greece?

Our model makes a Serbia win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline for Serbia vs Greece.

What is the predicted score for Serbia vs Greece?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Serbia and 1.20 for Greece. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Serbia and Greece play?

Kick-off is Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.