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⚽ Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 24 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Seattle Sounders face Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 24 September 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Seattle Sounders have 0 wins from their last 5, while Real Salt Lake have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Seattle Sounders won 1, Real Salt Lake won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.53

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 1.19 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	9.3%	5.5%	2.2%	0.7%
1	10.6%	12.6%	7.5%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.2%	8.6%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.3%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Seattle Sounders winDrawReal Salt Lake win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Seattle Sounders win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Seattle Sounders 43%Draw 28%Real Salt Lake 29%

43%28%29%

43%

Seattle Sounders Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake. Wins shown from Seattle Sounders’s perspective: Seattle Sounders 1 · 2 drawn · Real Salt Lake 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-05-30	Seattle Sounders	1 – 1	Real Salt Lake	D
2024-05-16	Real Salt Lake	2 – 0	Seattle Sounders	L
2023-04-30	Real Salt Lake	0 – 0	Seattle Sounders	D
2023-03-05	Seattle Sounders	2 – 0	Real Salt Lake	W

📈 Recent form

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders come into this game with 0 wins and 5 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5.

DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
DFC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer

Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps.

LReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
LReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
LHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
LColorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Seattle Sounders

J. FerreiraInjury
N. PetkovicKnee Injury
P. RothrockTendon Injury
P. de La VegaCalf Injury
Y. Gomez AndradeMuscle Injury

Real Salt Lake

J. J. AriasInjury
Z. BoothHamstring Injury
G. DillonFoot Injury
L. EngelHamstring Injury
J. GladGroin Injury
D. LunaKnee Injury
A. PiolAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Seattle Sounders at 43% to win and Real Salt Lake at 29%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Seattle Sounders Win	43%	48%	@ 1.95
Real Salt Lake Win	29%	27%	@ 3.40
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.30 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Seattle Sounders or Draw	70%	73%	@ 1.30
Real Salt Lake or Draw	56%	52%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	61%	@ 1.53
Over 1.5	72%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 2.5	53%	40%	@ 2.35
Over 2.5	47%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 1.5	28%	19%	@ 5.00
Over 3.5	25%	39%	@ 2.38

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	48%	38%	@ 2.50

📈 How the market moved

Seattle Sounders 48%Draw 25%Real Salt Lake 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?

Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake.

What is the predicted score for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Seattle Sounders and 1.19 for Real Salt Lake. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake play?

Kick-off is Thursday 24 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.