ENFR
Thu 24 Sep2-0Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 24 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.

Result: Seattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt Lake

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake finished 2-0. Seattle Sounders won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.53, landed.

Seattle Sounders face Real Salt Lake in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Thursday 24 September 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Seattle Sounders have no wins from their last 5, while Real Salt Lake have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Seattle Sounders won 2, Real Salt Lake won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

πŸ”₯ Best Bet

Model pick
Real Salt Lake +1.75 @ 1.30
82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 1.19 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.8% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7%
1 10.6% 12.6% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9%
2 7.2% 8.6% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
3 3.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Seattle Sounders winDrawReal Salt Lake win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Real Salt Lake with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Seattle Sounders win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

πŸ“Š Key numbers

Seattle Sounders 43%Draw 28%Real Salt Lake 29%
43%28%29%
43%
Seattle Sounders Win
53%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes

πŸ” Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake. Wins shown from Seattle Sounders’s perspective: Seattle Sounders 2 · 2 drawn · Real Salt Lake 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-24 Seattle Sounders 2 – 0 Real Salt Lake W
2024-05-30 Seattle Sounders 1 – 1 Real Salt Lake D
2024-05-16 Real Salt Lake 2 – 0 Seattle Sounders L
2023-04-30 Real Salt Lake 0 – 0 Seattle Sounders D
2023-03-05 Seattle Sounders 2 – 0 Real Salt Lake W

πŸ“ˆ Recent form

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Real Salt Lake.

  • WSeattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
  • DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
  • DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Seattle Sounders.

  • LSeattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
  • LReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
  • LReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
  • LHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
  • DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer

πŸ₯ Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 16 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Seattle Sounders
  • J. FerreiraInjury
  • D. JoveljicInternational duty
  • N. PetkovicKnee Injury
  • P. RothrockTendon Injury
  • P. de La VegaCalf Injury
Real Salt Lake
  • J. J. AriasHamstring Injury
  • Z. BoothHamstring Injury
  • L. De FougerollesInternational duty
  • G. DillonFoot Injury
  • L. EngelHamstring Injury
  • J. GladGroin Injury
  • A. KatranisGroin Injury
  • D. LunaKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Seattle Sounders at 43% to win and Real Salt Lake at 29%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Seattle Sounders Win 43% 55% @ 1.73
Real Salt Lake Win 29% 22% @ 4.33
Draw 28% 23% @ 4.10

πŸ”€ Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.22 (70% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Seattle Sounders or Draw 70% 78% @ 1.22
Real Salt Lake or Draw 56% 45% @ 2.00

πŸ“ˆ Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 75% 58% @ 1.62
Over 1.5 72% 83% @ 1.14
Under 2.5 53% 38% @ 2.50
Over 2.5 47% 62% @ 1.50
Under 1.5 28% 17% @ 5.50
Over 3.5 25% 42% @ 2.20

πŸ₯… Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 52% 61% @ 1.53
BTTS No 48% 39% @ 2.38

βš–οΈ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Seattle Sounders or Real Salt Lake is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Seattle Sounders +1.5 88% 86% 1.10
Real Salt Lake +2 85% 79% @ 1.19
Seattle Sounders +1.25 83% 86% 1.11
Real Salt Lake +1.75 82% 73% @ 1.30
Real Salt Lake +1.5 79% 67% @ 1.41
Seattle Sounders +1 79% 86% 1.10
Seattle Sounders +0.75 74% 82% 1.16
Real Salt Lake +1.25 73% 63% @ 1.51
Seattle Sounders +0.5 70% 76% 1.25
Real Salt Lake +1 68% 58% @ 1.65
Seattle Sounders +0.25 63% – 1.27
Real Salt Lake +0.75 62% 51% @ 1.91
Seattle Sounders 0 57% 71% 1.34
Real Salt Lake +0.5 56% 45% @ 2.12
Seattle Sounders -0.25 50% 62% 1.53
Real Salt Lake +0.25 50% 38% @ 2.50
Seattle Sounders -0.5 44% 55% 1.74
Real Salt Lake 0 43% 29% @ 3.27
Seattle Sounders -0.75 38% 49% 1.95
Seattle Sounders -1 32% 42% 2.29
Real Salt Lake -0.5 30% 24% @ 4.03
Seattle Sounders -1.25 27% 37% 2.58
Real Salt Lake -0.75 26% 18% @ 5.25
Real Salt Lake -1 21% 14% @ 7.00
Seattle Sounders -1.5 21% 33% 2.92
Seattle Sounders -1.75 18% 27% 3.56
Real Salt Lake -1.25 17% 14% @ 6.60
Seattle Sounders -2 15% 21% 4.50
Real Salt Lake -1.5 12% 14% 7.00

πŸ“ˆ How the market moved

18%38%59%09/1909/2009/2109/2209/2309/24

Seattle Sounders 55%Draw 23%Real Salt Lake 22%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?

Our model's main pick is Real Salt Lake with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?

Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake.

What is the predicted score for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Seattle Sounders and 1.19 for Real Salt Lake. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake play?

Kick-off is Thursday 24 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.