β½ Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 24 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.
Result: Seattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake finished 2-0. Seattle Sounders won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.53, landed.
Seattle Sounders face Real Salt Lake in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Thursday 24 September 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Seattle Sounders have no wins from their last 5, while Real Salt Lake have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Seattle Sounders won 2, Real Salt Lake won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
π₯ Best Bet
π― Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
π§ Model summary
Our prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Real Salt Lake with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Seattle Sounders win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
π Key numbers
π Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake. Wins shown from Seattle Soundersβs perspective: Seattle Sounders 2 · 2 drawn · Real Salt Lake 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle Sounders | 2 – 0 | Real Salt Lake | W |
| 2024-05-30 | Seattle Sounders | 1 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | D |
| 2024-05-16 | Real Salt Lake | 2 – 0 | Seattle Sounders | L |
| 2023-04-30 | Real Salt Lake | 0 – 0 | Seattle Sounders | D |
| 2023-03-05 | Seattle Sounders | 2 – 0 | Real Salt Lake | W |
π Recent form
Seattle Sounders come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Real Salt Lake.
- WSeattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
Real Salt Lake come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Seattle Sounders.
- LSeattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- LHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
π₯ Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 16 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. FerreiraInjury
- D. JoveljicInternational duty
- N. PetkovicKnee Injury
- P. RothrockTendon Injury
- P. de La VegaCalf Injury
- J. J. AriasHamstring Injury
- Z. BoothHamstring Injury
- L. De FougerollesInternational duty
- G. DillonFoot Injury
- L. EngelHamstring Injury
- J. GladGroin Injury
- A. KatranisGroin Injury
- D. LunaKnee Injury
β½ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Seattle Sounders at 43% to win and Real Salt Lake at 29%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders Win | 43% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Real Salt Lake Win | 29% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
| Draw | 28% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
π Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.22 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders or Draw | 70% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Real Salt Lake or Draw | 56% | 45% | @ 2.00 |
π Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
π₯ Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
βοΈ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Seattle Sounders or Real Salt Lake is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders +1.5 | 88% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Real Salt Lake +2 | 85% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Seattle Sounders +1.25 | 83% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.75 | 82% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.5 | 79% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
| Seattle Sounders +1 | 79% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Seattle Sounders +0.75 | 74% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.25 | 73% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Seattle Sounders +0.5 | 70% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Real Salt Lake +1 | 68% | 58% | @ 1.65 |
| Seattle Sounders +0.25 | 63% | – | 1.27 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.75 | 62% | 51% | @ 1.91 |
| Seattle Sounders 0 | 57% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.5 | 56% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.25 | 50% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.25 | 50% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.5 | 44% | 55% | 1.74 |
| Real Salt Lake 0 | 43% | 29% | @ 3.27 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.75 | 38% | 49% | 1.95 |
| Seattle Sounders -1 | 32% | 42% | 2.29 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.5 | 30% | 24% | @ 4.03 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.25 | 27% | 37% | 2.58 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.75 | 26% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Real Salt Lake -1 | 21% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.5 | 21% | 33% | 2.92 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.75 | 18% | 27% | 3.56 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.25 | 17% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Seattle Sounders -2 | 15% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.5 | 12% | 14% | 7.00 |
π How the market moved
β Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model's main pick is Real Salt Lake with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake.
What is the predicted score for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Seattle Sounders and 1.19 for Real Salt Lake. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake play?
Kick-off is Thursday 24 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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