ENFR
MontpellierMontpellier
Fri 6 Nov19:00Upcoming
MetzMetz

⚽ Ligue 2

Montpellier vs Metz Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Montpellier vs Metz in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Montpellier face Metz in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Montpellier have 4 wins from their last 5, while Metz have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Montpellier won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 46%, implying a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Montpellier vs Metz with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Montpellier win 46%
Draw 27%
Metz win 26%
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.65 – 1.20 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.8% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
1 9.5% 11.5% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8%
2 7.9% 9.4% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7%
3 4.3% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Montpellier winDrawMetz win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Montpellier vs Metz. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Montpellier win is the most likely result at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 58%.

📊 Key numbers

Montpellier 46%Draw 27%Metz 26%
46%27%26%
46%
Montpellier Win
55%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Montpellier and Metz. Wins shown from Montpellier’s perspective: Montpellier 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2024-02-18 Montpellier 3 – 0 Metz W
2023-12-17 Metz 0 – 1 Montpellier W

📈 Recent form

Montpellier

Montpellier come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Annecy. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WAnnecy 0-3 MontpellierLigue 2
  • WMontpellier 2-1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
  • WRodez 0-3 MontpellierLigue 2
  • WMontpellier 2-0 GrenobleLigue 2
  • DReims 1-1 MontpellierLigue 2
Metz

Metz come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Sochaux. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to PAU.

  • LMetz 1-3 PAULigue 2
  • DDunkerque 1-1 MetzLigue 2
  • WMetz 3-2 SochauxLigue 2
  • LDijon 4-2 MetzLigue 2
  • DMetz 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Metz 4-1-4-1
1Fischer
70Sarr
42Devenish
5Ruiz
4Mboula
98Mohamed
33Mbodj
8Deminguet
10Savanier
39Song
22Mbala
11Camara
9Megnan-Pave
23Benlahlou
18Pays
27Meddah
44Chennahi
28Zouaoui
6Mouanga
15Laporte
3Hannach
31Ngapandouetnbu
Montpellier 4-2-3-1

Metz

Last starting XI (4-1-4-1) vs PAU, 30/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Grégory Proment

Bench last match12Touré38Kadamani2Colin88Agne Ba3Miguel18Munongo21Pandore7Sané61Sy

Montpellier

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Annecy, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Z. Camara

Bench last match10Benhattab50Džodić19Mukiele77Everson5Tardieu90Ayem32Abderrebi40Vidal-Cartoux

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Montpellier at 46% to win and Metz at 26%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Montpellier win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Montpellier Win 46% @ 1.95
Draw 27% @ 3.30
Metz Win 26% @ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Montpellier or Draw at 1.28 (74% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Montpellier or Draw 74% @ 1.28
Metz or Draw 54% @ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 78% @ 1.20
Under 3.5 65% @ 1.44
Over 2.5 55% @ 1.70
Under 2.5 45% @ 2.10
Over 3.5 35% @ 2.62
Under 1.5 22% @ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 58% @ 1.62
BTTS No 42% @ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

20%36%52%11/0111/0211/0311/0411/0511/06

Montpellier 47%Draw 28%Metz 25%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montpellier vs Metz?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Montpellier win is the most likely result at 46%.

Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Metz?

Our model makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Montpellier vs Metz.

What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Metz?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.65 for Montpellier and 1.20 for Metz. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Montpellier and Metz play?

Kick-off is Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.