Montpellier
Metz⚽ Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Metz Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Montpellier vs Metz in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Montpellier face Metz in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Montpellier have 4 wins from their last 5, while Metz have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Montpellier won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 46%, implying a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Montpellier vs Metz with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Montpellier win | 46% |
| Draw | 27% |
| Metz win | 26% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Montpellier vs Metz. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Montpellier win is the most likely result at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 58%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Montpellier and Metz. Wins shown from Montpellier’s perspective: Montpellier 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-18 | Montpellier | 3 – 0 | Metz | W |
| 2023-12-17 | Metz | 0 – 1 | Montpellier | W |
📈 Recent form
Montpellier come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Annecy. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WAnnecy 0-3 MontpellierLigue 2
- WMontpellier 2-1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- WRodez 0-3 MontpellierLigue 2
- WMontpellier 2-0 GrenobleLigue 2
- DReims 1-1 MontpellierLigue 2
Metz come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Sochaux. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to PAU.
- LMetz 1-3 PAULigue 2
- DDunkerque 1-1 MetzLigue 2
- WMetz 3-2 SochauxLigue 2
- LDijon 4-2 MetzLigue 2
- DMetz 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Metz
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Grégory Proment
Montpellier
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Z. Camara
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Montpellier at 46% to win and Metz at 26%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Montpellier win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier Win | 46% | @ 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | @ 3.30 |
| Metz Win | 26% | @ 3.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Montpellier or Draw at 1.28 (74% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier or Draw | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Metz or Draw | 54% | @ 1.73 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 3.5 | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | @ 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 42% | @ 2.20 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Montpellier vs Metz?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Montpellier win is the most likely result at 46%.
Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Metz?
Our model makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Montpellier vs Metz.
What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Metz?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.65 for Montpellier and 1.20 for Metz. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Montpellier and Metz play?
Kick-off is Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
