Netherlands

Thu 24 Sep18:45Upcoming

Germany

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Netherlands vs Germany Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Netherlands vs Germany in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Netherlands face Germany in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Netherlands win the most likely result at 39%, implying a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Netherlands vs Germany with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Netherlands win	39%
Draw	25%
Germany win	36%
Over 2.5 goals	61%
Both teams to score	64%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.60 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	6.6%	5.1%	2.7%	1.0%
1	6.9%	10.6%	8.2%	4.3%	1.6%
2	5.5%	8.5%	6.6%	3.4%	1.3%
3	2.9%	4.5%	3.5%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.2%	1.8%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Netherlands winDrawGermany win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Netherlands vs Germany. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Netherlands win is the most likely result at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 61%. Both teams to score: yes at 64%.

📊 Key numbers

Netherlands 39%Draw 25%Germany 36%

39%25%36%

39%

Netherlands Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Netherlands

Netherlands come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 4, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Uzbekistan. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Algeria.

WNetherlands 2-1 UzbekistanFriendlies
LNetherlands 0-1 AlgeriaFriendlies
DNetherlands 1-1 EcuadorFriendlies
WNetherlands 2-1 NorwayFriendlies

Germany

Germany come into this game with 3 wins from their last 3, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Finland.

WUSA 1-2 GermanyFriendlies
WGermany 4-0 FinlandFriendlies
WSwitzerland 3-4 GermanyFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Netherlands at 39% to win and Germany at 36%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a Netherlands win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Netherlands Win	39%	@ 2.40
Germany Win	36%	@ 2.62
Draw	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Netherlands or Draw at 1.44 (64% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Netherlands or Draw	64%	@ 1.44
Germany or Draw	61%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	61%	@ 1.53
Under 3.5	59%	@ 1.57
Over 3.5	41%	@ 2.25
Under 2.5	39%	@ 2.40
Under 1.5	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	35%	@ 2.62

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Netherlands vs Germany?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Netherlands win is the most likely result at 39%.

Who is the favourite for Netherlands vs Germany?

Our model makes a Netherlands win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Netherlands vs Germany.

What is the predicted score for Netherlands vs Germany?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Netherlands and 1.55 for Germany. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Netherlands and Germany play?

Kick-off is Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.