Liechtenstein
Lithuania⚽ UEFA Nations League
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Liechtenstein face Lithuania in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Lithuania win the most likely result at 72%, implying a 0.5-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Liechtenstein win | 8% |
| Draw | 20% |
| Lithuania win | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 34% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Liechtenstein vs Lithuania. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Lithuania win is the most likely result at 72%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: no at 66%.
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Liechtenstein come into this game with 1 win from their last 4, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Tanzania. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Cyprus.
- LLiechtenstein 0-2 CyprusFriendlies
- LAndorra 2-0 LiechtensteinFriendlies
- LAruba 4-1 LiechtensteinFIFA Series
- WTanzania 0-1 LiechtensteinFIFA Series
Lithuania come into this game with 2 wins from their last 3, scoring 3 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Moldova. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Georgia.
- WLithuania 1-0 EstoniaBaltic Cup
- LLithuania 0-2 GeorgiaFriendlies
- WMoldova 0-2 LithuaniaFriendlies
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Liechtenstein at 8% to win and Lithuania at 72%, with the draw at 20%. The bookmaker market makes a Lithuania win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lithuania Win | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Draw | 20% | @ 4.75 |
| Liechtenstein Win | 8% | @ 11.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lithuania or Draw at 1.02 (92% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lithuania or Draw | 92% | @ 1.02 |
| Liechtenstein or Draw | 28% | @ 3.40 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 0.5-1.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | @ 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 66%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 34% | @ 2.75 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Lithuania win is the most likely result at 72%.
Who is the favourite for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
Our model makes a Lithuania win the most likely result at 72%. It projects an expected 0.5-1.9 scoreline for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania.
What is the predicted score for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.50 for Liechtenstein and 1.95 for Lithuania. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Liechtenstein and Lithuania play?
Kick-off is Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
