⚽ Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Friday 02 October 2026, 01:30 UTC.
Result: Seattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City finished 2-1. Seattle Sounders won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.83, landed.
Seattle Sounders face Sporting Kansas City in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Friday 02 October 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Seattle Sounders have 1 win from their last 5, while Sporting Kansas City have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Seattle Sounders won 2, Sporting Kansas City won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.9-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sporting Kansas City with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Seattle Sounders win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Seattle Sounders and Sporting Kansas City. Wins shown from Seattle Sounders’s perspective: Seattle Sounders 2 · 1 drawn · Sporting Kansas City 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Seattle Sounders | 2 – 1 | Sporting Kansas City | W |
| 2026-05-02 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 – 1 | Seattle Sounders | D |
| 2024-09-15 | Seattle Sounders | 2 – 0 | Sporting Kansas City | W |
| 2024-06-09 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 – 1 | Seattle Sounders | L |
| 2023-05-07 | Seattle Sounders | 1 – 2 | Sporting Kansas City | L |
📈 Recent form
Seattle Sounders come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Minnesota United FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WSeattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- WSeattle Sounders 3-1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- WSeattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Houston Dynamo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Seattle Sounders.
- LSeattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- WHouston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- WSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- S. BrunellInternational duty
- H. DotsonSuspended (cards)
- J. FerreiraMuscle Injury
- D. JoveljicInternational duty
- N. PetkovicKnee Injury
- P. RothrockTendon Injury
- P. de La VegaCalf Injury
- O. BlorianChest Injury
- CapitaHamstring Injury
- J. DavisInjury
- Diego BorgesGroin Injury
- M. MosqueraHamstring Injury
- O. WolffMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Seattle Sounders at 56% to win and Sporting Kansas City at 22%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders Win | 56% | 60% | @ 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Sporting Kansas City Win | 22% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.14 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders or Draw | 79% | 81% | @ 1.14 |
| Sporting Kansas City or Draw | 45% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 88% | @ 1.08 |
| Under 3.5 | 65% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 12% | @ 8.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Seattle Sounders or Sporting Kansas City is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders +0.75 | 82% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Seattle Sounders +0.5 | 79% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Sporting Kansas City +2 | 78% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.75 | 74% | 65% | @ 1.47 |
| Seattle Sounders +0.25 | 73% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.5 | 69% | 60% | @ 1.60 |
| Seattle Sounders 0 | 67% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.25 | 63% | 55% | @ 1.75 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.25 | 61% | 68% | 1.41 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1 | 57% | 50% | @ 1.94 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.5 | 55% | 61% | 1.55 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.75 | 51% | 43% | @ 2.21 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.75 | 49% | 57% | 1.69 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.5 | 45% | 39% | @ 2.45 |
| Seattle Sounders -1 | 43% | 50% | 1.92 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.25 | 39% | 32% | @ 2.99 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.25 | 37% | 45% | 2.12 |
| Sporting Kansas City 0 | 33% | 24% | @ 4.06 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.5 | 31% | 40% | 2.37 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.25 | 27% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.75 | 26% | 35% | 2.73 |
| Seattle Sounders -2 | 22% | 28% | 3.46 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.5 | 21% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.75 | 18% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model's main pick is Sporting Kansas City with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline for Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City.
What is the predicted score for Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Seattle Sounders and 1.10 for Sporting Kansas City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Seattle Sounders and Sporting Kansas City play?
Kick-off is Friday 02 October 2026, 01:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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