vs
⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Croatia vs Ghana Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Croatia vs Ghana at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Saturday 27 June 2026, 21:00 UTC at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia.
Result: Croatia 2-1 Ghana
Croatia vs Ghana finished 2-1. Croatia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.42, landed.
Croatia met Ghana in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, finishing 2-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Croatia win the most likely result at 76%, projecting a 1.5-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Croatia vs Ghana with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11.3% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Croatia vs Ghana is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Croatia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 76%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (60%). Separately, the biggest gap between our model and the bookmaker price is a Croatia win at odds 1.75 (+32.8% model edge).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Croatia at 76% to win and Ghana at 8%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes a Croatia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia Win | 76% | 1.75 | +32.8% |
| Draw | 16% | 3.35 | -45.7% |
| Ghana Win | 8% | 5.00 | -61.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Croatia or the draw at 1.17 (92% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 92% | 1.17 | +7.9% |
| Croatia or Ghana – Double Chance (12) | 84% | 1.25 | +4.7% |
| Ghana or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 24% | 2.00 | -51.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 4.20 | +34.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 2.25 | +22.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 1.42 | +10.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 1.22 | -17.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 1.62 | -26.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 2.80 | -37.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.70 | +2.8% |
| BTTS Yes | 40% | 2.05 | -19.0% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Croatia or Ghana is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia -2.5 | 29% | 7.00 | +105.8% |
| Croatia -3.5 | 14% | 13.00 | +80.7% |
| Croatia -1.5 | 52% | 3.30 | +71.9% |
| Croatia -0.5 | 76% | 1.73 | +31.3% |
| Croatia +0.5 | 92% | 1.18 | +8.8% |
| Croatia +1.5 | 98% | 1.02 | +0.2% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Croatia vs Ghana prediction correct?
Croatia vs Ghana finished 2-1. Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.42, landed.
What is the prediction for Croatia vs Ghana?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, with a 78% model probability. The biggest separate model edge is a Croatia win at 1.75 (+32.8% model edge).
Who is the favourite for Croatia vs Ghana?
Our model makes a Croatia win the most likely result at 76%. It projects an expected 1.5-0.8 scoreline for Croatia vs Ghana.
What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Ghana?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.54 for Croatia and 0.81 for Ghana. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Croatia and Ghana play?
Kick-off is Saturday 27 June 2026, 21:00 UTC at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia.
Where is Croatia vs Ghana being played?
The match takes place at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
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