Sat 10 Oct14:00Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Blackburn vs Cardiff Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Blackburn vs Cardiff in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Blackburn face Cardiff in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Blackburn have 1 win from their last 5, while Cardiff have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Blackburn won 2, Cardiff won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Blackburn vs Cardiff with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Blackburn or Draw @ 1.50

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.09 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	7.3%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%
1	10.8%	11.8%	6.4%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.7%	9.5%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.7%	5.1%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Blackburn winDrawCardiff win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Blackburn vs Cardiff comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Blackburn or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Blackburn win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Blackburn 48%Draw 31%Cardiff 21%

48%31%21%

48%

Blackburn Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Blackburn and Cardiff. Wins shown from Blackburn’s perspective: Blackburn 2 · 1 drawn · Cardiff 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-03-15	Blackburn	1 – 2	Cardiff	L
2024-11-09	Cardiff	1 – 3	Blackburn	W
2024-02-20	Cardiff	0 – 0	Blackburn	D
2023-10-21	Blackburn	1 – 0	Cardiff	W

📈 Recent form

Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Millwall. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Sheffield Utd.

DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
WBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship
LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
DLincoln 0-0 BlackburnChampionship

Cardiff

Cardiff come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Charlton. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Bolton.

WCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
LBolton 1-0 CardiffChampionship
DCardiff 1-1 Stoke CityChampionship
LPortsmouth 2-0 CardiffChampionship
LQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Blackburn

A. ForshawHip Injury
M. JorgensenHamstring Injury
A. KargboMuscle Injury
M. LitherlandMuscle Injury
L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
Y. OhashiHamstring Injury
Y. RibeiroHamstring Injury
S. WhartonAchilles Tendon Injury

Cardiff

C. ChambersKnee Injury
R. ColwillHealth problems
I. DaviesMuscle Injury
W. FishHernia
D. LawlorMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Blackburn at 48% to win and Cardiff at 21%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Blackburn Win	48%	36%	@ 2.62
Draw	31%	27%	@ 3.50
Cardiff Win	21%	37%	@ 2.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Blackburn or Draw at 1.50 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Blackburn or Draw	76%	63%	@ 1.50
Cardiff or Draw	49%	64%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	71%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	51%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	49%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	29%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	25%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	46%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

Blackburn 36%Draw 27%Cardiff 38%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Cardiff?

Our model's main pick is Blackburn or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.

Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Cardiff?

Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Blackburn vs Cardiff.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Cardiff?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for Blackburn and 1.09 for Cardiff. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Blackburn and Cardiff play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.