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⚽ Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Go Ahead Eagles face Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: Go Ahead Eagles have 1 win from their last 5, while Sparta Rotterdam have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Go Ahead Eagles won 3, Sparta Rotterdam won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
BTTS Yes @ 1.44
63%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.91 – 1.31 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.0% 5.2% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.6% 10.0% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9%
2 7.3% 9.5% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9%
3 4.6% 6.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.2% 2.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
Projected score: 1-1
Go Ahead Eagles winDrawSparta Rotterdam win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Go Ahead Eagles 44%Draw 32%Sparta Rotterdam 24%
44%32%24%
44%
Go Ahead Eagles Win
62%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam. Wins shown from Go Ahead Eagles’s perspective: Go Ahead Eagles 3 · 1 drawn · Sparta Rotterdam 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-05-03 Sparta Rotterdam 2 – 2 Go Ahead Eagles D
2025-08-23 Go Ahead Eagles 0 – 3 Sparta Rotterdam L
2025-02-14 Go Ahead Eagles 1 – 0 Sparta Rotterdam W
2024-09-15 Sparta Rotterdam 1 – 2 Go Ahead Eagles W
2024-01-21 Sparta Rotterdam 0 – 2 Go Ahead Eagles W

📈 Recent form

Go Ahead Eagles

Go Ahead Eagles come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to ADO Den Haag. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-5 at AZ Alkmaar.

  • DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
  • DGo Ahead Eagles 1-1 GroningenEredivisie
  • DUtrecht 3-3 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
  • LAZ Alkmaar 5-2 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
  • WGo Ahead Eagles 3-1 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Heerenveen.

  • LSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
  • LPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
  • DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
  • LExcelsior 2-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
  • DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 UtrechtEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Go Ahead Eagles
  • P. SaathofKnee Injury
  • E. WaayersNot in squad
  • M. SurayInjury
Sparta Rotterdam
  • S. MitoNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Go Ahead Eagles at 44% to win and Sparta Rotterdam at 24%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Go Ahead Eagles Win 44% 54% @ 1.75
Draw 32% 23% @ 4.00
Sparta Rotterdam Win 24% 23% @ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Go Ahead Eagles or Draw at 1.22 (72% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Go Ahead Eagles or Draw 72% 77% @ 1.22
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw 53% 46% @ 2.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 83% 85% @ 1.11
Over 2.5 62% 67% @ 1.40
Under 3.5 60% 54% @ 1.73
Over 3.5 40% 46% @ 2.00
Under 2.5 38% 33% @ 2.88
Under 1.5 17% 15% @ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 63% 65% @ 1.44
BTTS No 37% 35% @ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

18%38%58%10/0510/0610/0710/08

Go Ahead Eagles 54%Draw 24%Sparta Rotterdam 22%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our model's main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our model makes a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam.

What is the predicted score for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.91 for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.31 for Sparta Rotterdam. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.