⚽ Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 UTC.
Go Ahead Eagles face Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: Go Ahead Eagles have 1 win from their last 5, while Sparta Rotterdam have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Go Ahead Eagles won 3, Sparta Rotterdam won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (63%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam. Wins shown from Go Ahead Eagles’s perspective: Go Ahead Eagles 3 · 1 drawn · Sparta Rotterdam 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 – 2 | Go Ahead Eagles | D |
| 2025-08-23 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 – 3 | Sparta Rotterdam | L |
| 2025-02-14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 – 0 | Sparta Rotterdam | W |
| 2024-09-15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 – 2 | Go Ahead Eagles | W |
| 2024-01-21 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 – 2 | Go Ahead Eagles | W |
📈 Recent form
Go Ahead Eagles come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to ADO Den Haag. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-5 at AZ Alkmaar.
- DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- DGo Ahead Eagles 1-1 GroningenEredivisie
- DUtrecht 3-3 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- LAZ Alkmaar 5-2 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- WGo Ahead Eagles 3-1 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Heerenveen.
- LSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
- LPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- LExcelsior 2-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 UtrechtEredivisie
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- P. SaathofKnee Injury
- E. WaayersNot in squad
- M. SurayInjury
- S. MitoNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Go Ahead Eagles at 44% to win and Sparta Rotterdam at 24%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles Win | 44% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Draw | 32% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
| Sparta Rotterdam Win | 24% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Go Ahead Eagles or Draw at 1.22 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles or Draw | 72% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Sparta Rotterdam or Draw | 53% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 15% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 37% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our model's main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.
Who is the favourite for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our model makes a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam.
What is the predicted score for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.91 for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.31 for Sparta Rotterdam. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam play?
Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


