Sat 10 Oct15:15Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Lille vs Le Havre Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lille vs Le Havre in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lille face Le Havre in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Lille have 3 wins from their last 5, while Le Havre have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Lille won 3, Le Havre won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lille win the most likely result at 62%, projecting a 1.7-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lille vs Le Havre with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.50

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.66 – 0.84 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	6.9%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%
1	13.6%	11.4%	4.8%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.3%	9.5%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	6.3%	5.3%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.6%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Lille winDrawLe Havre win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lille vs Le Havre comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lille win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 62%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Lille 62%Draw 25%Le Havre 13%

62%25%13%

62%

Lille Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Lille and Le Havre. Wins shown from Lille’s perspective: Lille 3 · 1 drawn · Le Havre 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-03	Lille	1 – 1	Le Havre	D
2025-11-30	Le Havre	0 – 1	Lille	W
2025-02-08	Lille	1 – 2	Le Havre	L
2024-09-28	Le Havre	0 – 3	Lille	W
2024-02-17	Lille	3 – 0	Le Havre	W

📈 Recent form

Lille

Lille come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Estac Troyes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Nice.

WLille 2-1 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
LNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
WLille 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
LLille 2-3 Real BetisUEFA Champions League
WToulouse 0-1 LilleLigue 1

Le Havre

Le Havre come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Toulouse.

LToulouse 3-2 Le HavreLigue 1
DLe Havre 0-0 AngersLigue 1
LLe Havre 1-2 BrestLigue 1
DLyon 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1
LLe Havre 0-1 MonacoLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Lille

H. IgamaneKnee Injury
T. NianzouKnock

Le Havre

F. MambimbiInjury
L. Mpasi-NzauInjury
A. ToureKnee Injury
S. ZagadouInjury
T. PembeleMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lille at 62% to win and Le Havre at 13%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Lille win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille Win	62%	66%	@ 1.44
Draw	25%	21%	@ 4.50
Le Havre Win	13%	13%	@ 7.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lille or Draw at 1.10 (85% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille or Draw	85%	87%	@ 1.10
Le Havre or Draw	36%	34%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 1.5	71%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 2.5	54%	41%	@ 2.30
Over 2.5	46%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 1.5	29%	21%	@ 4.50
Over 3.5	24%	36%	@ 2.62

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	48%	@ 1.95
BTTS Yes	46%	52%	@ 1.80

📈 How the market moved

Lille 66%Draw 20%Le Havre 13%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lille vs Le Havre?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Lille vs Le Havre?

Our model makes a Lille win the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.8 scoreline for Lille vs Le Havre.

What is the predicted score for Lille vs Le Havre?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Lille and 0.84 for Le Havre. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lille and Le Havre play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.