Sun 11 Oct12:30Upcoming

⚽ Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

PEC Zwolle face Cambuur in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: PEC Zwolle have 1 win from their last 5, while Cambuur have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Cambuur win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.9-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.53

69%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.85 – 1.69 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.9%	4.9%	4.1%	2.3%	1.0%
1	5.4%	9.1%	7.7%	4.3%	1.8%
2	5.0%	8.4%	7.1%	4.0%	1.7%
3	3.1%	5.2%	4.4%	2.5%	1.0%
4	1.4%	2.4%	2.0%	1.1%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-1

PEC Zwolle winDrawCambuur win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Cambuur win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

PEC Zwolle 36%Draw 24%Cambuur 40%

36%24%40%

40%

Cambuur Win

69%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Heerenveen. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Groningen.

LGroningen 3-0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 0-7 FeyenoordEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
WHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie

Cambuur

Cambuur come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 12. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Twente.

DADO Den Haag 1-1 CambuurEredivisie
WCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie
LCambuur 1-4 TwenteEredivisie
LCambuur 2-5 FeyenoordEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PEC Zwolle at 36% to win and Cambuur at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Cambuur win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cambuur Win	40%	27%	@ 3.50
PEC Zwolle Win	36%	48%	@ 1.95
Draw	24%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cambuur or Draw at 1.80 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cambuur or Draw	65%	52%	@ 1.80
PEC Zwolle or Draw	62%	73%	@ 1.28

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	69%	61%	@ 1.53
Under 3.5	53%	58%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	47%	42%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	31%	39%	@ 2.40
Under 1.5	13%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	67%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	33%	38%	@ 2.50

📈 How the market moved

PEC Zwolle 49%Draw 24%Cambuur 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur?

Our model makes a Cambuur win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.7 scoreline for PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur.

What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.85 for PEC Zwolle and 1.69 for Cambuur. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PEC Zwolle and Cambuur play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.