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⚽ Ligue 1

Nice vs Strasbourg Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nice vs Strasbourg in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Nice face Strasbourg in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Nice have 1 win from their last 5, while Strasbourg have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Nice won 2, Strasbourg won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.4-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nice vs Strasbourg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.50

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.44 – 1.48 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	8.0%	5.9%	2.9%	1.1%
1	7.8%	11.5%	8.5%	4.2%	1.6%
2	5.6%	8.3%	6.1%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.7%	4.0%	2.9%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.4%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Nice winDrawStrasbourg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nice vs Strasbourg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Strasbourg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

📊 Key numbers

Nice 34%Draw 31%Strasbourg 35%

34%31%35%

35%

Strasbourg Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Nice and Strasbourg. Wins shown from Nice’s perspective: Nice 2 · 2 drawn · Strasbourg 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-22	Strasbourg	0 – 2	Nice	W
2026-04-04	Strasbourg	3 – 1	Nice	L
2026-01-03	Nice	1 – 1	Strasbourg	D
2025-04-12	Strasbourg	2 – 2	Nice	D
2024-11-24	Nice	2 – 1	Strasbourg	W

📈 Recent form

Nice

Nice come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lille. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Auxerre.

WNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
LAuxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
LParis FC 3-0 NiceLigue 1
DNice 0-0 LorientLigue 1

Strasbourg

Strasbourg come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Paris FC.

LParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
WEstac Troyes 2-6 StrasbourgLigue 1
WStrasbourg 2-1 LensLigue 1
LMarseille 4-0 StrasbourgLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Nice at 34% to win and Strasbourg at 35%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Strasbourg Win	35%	32%	@ 3.00
Nice Win	34%	42%	@ 2.30
Draw	31%	27%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Strasbourg or Draw at 1.57 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Strasbourg or Draw	64%	58%	@ 1.57
Nice or Draw	62%	68%	@ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	66%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	56%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	44%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	34%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	21%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	42%	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Nice 41%Draw 26%Strasbourg 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nice vs Strasbourg?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Nice vs Strasbourg?

Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline for Nice vs Strasbourg.

What is the predicted score for Nice vs Strasbourg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Nice and 1.48 for Strasbourg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nice and Strasbourg play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.