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⚽ Bundesliga

1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

1. FC Köln face Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: 1. FC Köln have 1 win from their last 4, while Borussia Mönchengladbach have no wins from their last 4. In their last 4 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Borussia Mönchengladbach win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.7-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw @ 1.80

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.74 – 1.68 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	5.5%	4.6%	2.6%	1.1%
1	5.7%	9.6%	8.0%	4.5%	1.9%
2	5.0%	8.3%	7.0%	3.9%	1.6%
3	2.9%	4.8%	4.1%	2.3%	1.0%
4	1.2%	2.1%	1.8%	1.0%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

1. FC Köln winDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw at odds 1.80, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Borussia Mönchengladbach win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

1. FC Köln 32%Draw 26%Borussia Mönchengladbach 42%

32%26%42%

42%

Borussia Mönchengladbach Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between 1. FC Köln and Borussia Mönchengladbach. Wins shown from 1. FC Köln’s perspective: 1. FC Köln 1 · 2 drawn · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-21	1. FC Köln	3 – 3	Borussia Mönchengladbach	D
2025-11-08	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3 – 1	1. FC Köln	L
2024-03-09	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3 – 3	1. FC Köln	D
2023-10-22	1. FC Köln	3 – 1	Borussia Mönchengladbach	W

📈 Recent form

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Hoffenheim. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Hamburger SV.

DFC Viktoria Köln 2-2 1. FC KölnFriendlies Clubs
LHamburger SV 2-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
D1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
LVfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
W1. FC Köln 3-2 HoffenheimBundesliga

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 17. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to FSV Mainz 05.

DFC St. Pauli 1-1 Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs
LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
LSC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergBundesliga
LRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices 1. FC Köln at 32% to win and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 42%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Borussia Mönchengladbach win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win	42%	27%	@ 3.50
1. FC Köln Win	32%	48%	@ 2.00
Draw	26%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw at 1.80 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw	68%	52%	@ 1.80
1. FC Köln or Draw	58%	73%	@ 1.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	66%	64%	@ 1.50
Under 3.5	55%	57%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	45%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	34%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	14%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	67%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	33%	35%	@ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

1. FC Köln 48%Draw 24%Borussia Mönchengladbach 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our model's main pick is Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw at odds 1.80, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 52%.

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our model makes a Borussia Mönchengladbach win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for 1. FC Köln and 1.68 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do 1. FC Köln and Borussia Mönchengladbach play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.