Sun 11 Oct15:15Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Rennes vs Auxerre Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rennes vs Auxerre in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Rennes face Auxerre in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Rennes have 3 wins from their last 5, while Auxerre have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Rennes won 1, Auxerre won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 2.0-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rennes vs Auxerre with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.50

63%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.00 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.8%	4.8%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
1	7.6%	9.7%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
2	7.6%	9.7%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
3	5.1%	6.4%	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%
4	2.5%	3.2%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Rennes winDrawAuxerre win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rennes vs Auxerre comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rennes win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Rennes 53%Draw 26%Auxerre 21%

53%26%21%

53%

Rennes Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Rennes and Auxerre. Wins shown from Rennes’s perspective: Rennes 1 · 1 drawn · Auxerre 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-22	Auxerre	0 – 3	Rennes	W
2025-10-19	Rennes	2 – 2	Auxerre	D
2025-04-06	Rennes	0 – 1	Auxerre	L
2024-11-03	Auxerre	4 – 0	Rennes	L

📈 Recent form

Rennes

Rennes come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Marseille. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Laval.

LLaval 1-0 RennesFriendlies Clubs
LLyon 4-0 RennesLigue 1
DSturm Graz 0-0 RennesUEFA Europa League
WRennes 1-0 MarseilleLigue 1
WAngers 1-2 RennesLigue 1

Auxerre

Auxerre come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Brest. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Lyon.

WAuxerre 2-1 BrestLigue 1
WAuxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
LLyon 3-1 AuxerreLigue 1
LAuxerre 1-3 AngersLigue 1
LLens 5-2 AuxerreLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rennes at 53% to win and Auxerre at 21%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rennes Win	53%	66%	@ 1.44
Draw	26%	20%	@ 4.75
Auxerre Win	21%	14%	@ 7.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rennes or Draw at 1.10 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rennes or Draw	78%	86%	@ 1.10
Auxerre or Draw	46%	34%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	63%	64%	@ 1.50
Under 3.5	59%	57%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	41%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	37%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	16%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	38%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Rennes 66%Draw 20%Auxerre 14%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rennes vs Auxerre?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Rennes vs Auxerre?

Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline for Rennes vs Auxerre.

What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Auxerre?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 2.00 for Rennes and 1.27 for Auxerre. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rennes and Auxerre play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.