Sun 11 Oct18:45Upcoming

⚽ Serie A

Cagliari vs Juventus Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cagliari vs Juventus in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Cagliari face Juventus in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Cagliari have 4 wins from their last 5, while Juventus have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Cagliari won 1, Juventus won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 0.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cagliari vs Juventus with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.95 – 1.56 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	12.7%	9.9%	5.1%	2.0%
1	7.7%	12.0%	9.4%	4.9%	1.9%
2	3.7%	5.7%	4.5%	2.3%	0.9%
3	1.2%	1.8%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Cagliari winDrawJuventus win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cagliari vs Juventus comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Juventus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Cagliari 21%Draw 26%Juventus 54%

21%26%54%

54%

Juventus Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Cagliari and Juventus. Wins shown from Cagliari’s perspective: Cagliari 1 · 2 drawn · Juventus 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-17	Cagliari	1 – 0	Juventus	W
2025-11-29	Juventus	2 – 1	Cagliari	L
2025-02-23	Cagliari	0 – 1	Juventus	L
2024-10-06	Juventus	1 – 1	Cagliari	D
2024-04-19	Cagliari	2 – 2	Juventus	D

📈 Recent form

Cagliari

Cagliari come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Udinese. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Hellas Verona.

WUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
WAtalanta 1-2 CagliariSerie A
WCagliari 1-0 LecceSerie A
LCagliari 1-2 Hellas VeronaCoppa Italia
LCagliari 0-1 InterSerie A

Juventus

Juventus come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Sassuolo.

WJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
WJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
LSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
DJuventus 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
WJuventus 2-0 ParmaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Cagliari

M'Bala NzolaFitness
Y. TrepyWound
Riyad IdrissiJumpers Knee

Juventus

K. YıldızFoot Injury
J. CabalThigh Problems
J. BogaMuscle Bruise
K. ThuramJumpers Knee
M. LocatelliJumpers Knee
J. EkhatorMuscle Bruise
K. GrabaraJumpers Knee

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cagliari at 21% to win and Juventus at 54%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Juventus Win	54%	60%	@ 1.55
Draw	26%	25%	@ 3.70
Cagliari Win	21%	14%	@ 6.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Juventus or Draw at 1.11 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Juventus or Draw	78%	86%	@ 1.11
Cagliari or Draw	45%	40%	@ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	73%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	72%	72%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	54%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	46%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	28%	28%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	24%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS Yes	48%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Cagliari 15%Draw 25%Juventus 61%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cagliari vs Juventus?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Cagliari vs Juventus?

Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline for Cagliari vs Juventus.

What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Juventus?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.95 for Cagliari and 1.56 for Juventus. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cagliari and Juventus play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.