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⚽ La Liga

Levante vs Sevilla Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Levante vs Sevilla in the La Liga. Kick-off Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Levante face Sevilla in the La Liga, kicking off Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Levante have 1 win from their last 5, while Sevilla have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Levante won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Levante win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.6-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Levante vs Sevilla with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.33
82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.63 – 1.52 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.3% 6.5% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0%
1 7.0% 10.6% 8.1% 4.1% 1.6%
2 5.7% 8.7% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
3 3.1% 4.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Projected score: 1-1
Levante winDrawSevilla win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Levante vs Sevilla comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Levante win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Levante 41%Draw 29%Sevilla 29%
41%29%29%
41%
Levante Win
61%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Levante and Sevilla. Wins shown from Levante’s perspective: Levante 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-04-23 Levante 2 – 0 Sevilla W
2026-01-04 Sevilla 0 – 3 Levante W

📈 Recent form

Levante

Levante come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Real Betis. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Villarreal.

  • LVillarreal 3-1 LevanteLa Liga
  • LLevante 2-4 BarcelonaLa Liga
  • DMálaga 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
  • WLevante 5-2 Real BetisLa Liga
  • DOsasuna 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
Sevilla

Sevilla come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Deportivo La Coruña. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Aston Villa.

  • LSevilla 1-3 Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs
  • LSevilla 1-3 BarcelonaLa Liga
  • WDeportivo La Coruña 0-1 SevillaLa Liga
  • WSevilla 1-0 ValenciaLa Liga
  • DEspanyol 1-1 SevillaLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Levante at 41% to win and Sevilla at 29%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Levante win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Levante Win 41% 35% @ 2.70
Sevilla Win 29% 35% @ 2.70
Draw 29% 29% @ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levante or Draw at 1.44 (69% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Levante or Draw 69% 65% @ 1.44
Sevilla or Draw 57% 65% @ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 82% 72% @ 1.33
Under 3.5 61% 73% @ 1.30
Over 2.5 61% 47% @ 2.00
Under 2.5 39% 53% @ 1.80
Over 3.5 39% 27% @ 3.50
Under 1.5 18% 28% @ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 63% 52% @ 1.80
BTTS No 37% 48% @ 1.95

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Levante vs Sevilla?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Levante vs Sevilla?

Our model makes a Levante win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline for Levante vs Sevilla.

What is the predicted score for Levante vs Sevilla?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Levante and 1.52 for Sevilla. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Levante and Sevilla play?

Kick-off is Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.