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⚽ Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

CF Montreal face Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: CF Montreal have 1 win from their last 5, while Atlanta United FC have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, CF Montreal won 2, Atlanta United FC won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a CF Montreal win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.57

70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.44 – 1.34 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	8.3%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%
1	8.9%	12.0%	8.0%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.4%	8.6%	5.8%	2.6%	0.9%
3	3.1%	4.1%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.1%	1.5%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

CF Montreal winDrawAtlanta United FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a CF Montreal win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

CF Montreal 37%Draw 32%Atlanta United FC 31%

37%32%31%

37%

CF Montreal Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC. Wins shown from CF Montreal’s perspective: CF Montreal 2 · Atlanta United FC 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-02	Atlanta United FC	3 – 1	CF Montreal	L
2024-10-02	Atlanta United FC	1 – 2	CF Montreal	W
2024-07-13	CF Montreal	1 – 0	Atlanta United FC	W
2023-09-23	Atlanta United FC	4 – 1	CF Montreal	L
2023-07-08	CF Montreal	0 – 1	Atlanta United FC	L

📈 Recent form

CF Montreal

CF Montreal come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to FC Cincinnati. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Toronto FC.

LToronto FC 2-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
WCF Montreal 3-1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
LCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
WCF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver WhitecapsCanadian Championship
LColorado Rapids 1-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer

Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Portland Timbers. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to FC Cincinnati.

LAtlanta United FC 1-3 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
DAtlanta United FC 2-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
WPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
DDC United 0-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
LAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

CF Montreal

T. GillierUpper-Body Injury
B. HidalgoGroin Injury
B. CeballosLower-Body Injury

Atlanta United FC

D. ChicaKnee Injury
W. ReillyAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices CF Montreal at 37% to win and Atlanta United FC at 31%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a CF Montreal win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
CF Montreal Win	37%	42%	@ 2.25
Draw	32%	25%	@ 3.75
Atlanta United FC Win	31%	33%	@ 2.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is CF Montreal or Draw at 1.40 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
CF Montreal or Draw	66%	67%	@ 1.40
Atlanta United FC or Draw	60%	58%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	70%	59%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	53%	61%	@ 1.53
Under 2.5	47%	39%	@ 2.40
Over 3.5	30%	41%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	24%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	44%	38%	@ 2.50

📈 How the market moved

CF Montreal 42%Draw 25%Atlanta United FC 33%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC?

Our model makes a CF Montreal win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC.

What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for CF Montreal and 1.34 for Atlanta United FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.