⚽ Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
FC Cincinnati face New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Cincinnati have no wins from their last 5, while New England Revolution have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 1, New England Revolution won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 2.1-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Cincinnati win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (71%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution. Wins shown from FC Cincinnati’s perspective: FC Cincinnati 1 · 2 drawn · New England Revolution 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-22 | FC Cincinnati | 1 – 2 | New England Revolution | L |
| 2024-03-17 | New England Revolution | 1 – 2 | FC Cincinnati | W |
| 2023-07-01 | FC Cincinnati | 2 – 2 | New England Revolution | D |
| 2023-04-29 | New England Revolution | 1 – 1 | FC Cincinnati | D |
📈 Recent form
FC Cincinnati come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Atlanta United FC. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at CF Montreal.
- WAtlanta United FC 1-3 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LCF Montreal 3-1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Orlando City SC. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Seattle Sounders.
- LNew England Revolution 0-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- EvanderLeg Injury
- O. NwobodoInjury
- M. RobinsonInjury
- M. FofanaLower-Body Injury
- J. HarrisonLower-Body Injury
- A. YusufMuscle Injury
- L. CampanaHamstring Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FC Cincinnati at 49% to win and New England Revolution at 23%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati Win | 49% | 48% | @ 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
| New England Revolution Win | 23% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Cincinnati or Draw at 1.33 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati or Draw | 75% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| New England Revolution or Draw | 50% | 52% | @ 1.83 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 | 44% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 1.5 | 9% | 15% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 71%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 71% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 29% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.
Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.9 scoreline for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.08 for FC Cincinnati and 1.91 for New England Revolution. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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