⚽ Major League Soccer
Inter Miami vs New York City FC Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Inter Miami vs New York City FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Inter Miami face New York City FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Inter Miami have no wins from their last 5, while New York City FC have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, New York City FC won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.9-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Inter Miami vs New York City FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Inter Miami vs New York City FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates an Inter Miami win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Inter Miami and New York City FC. Wins shown from Inter Miami’s perspective: 3 drawn · New York City FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-21 | New York City FC | 1 – 1 | Inter Miami | D |
| 2024-03-30 | Inter Miami | 1 – 1 | New York City FC | D |
| 2023-09-30 | Inter Miami | 1 – 1 | New York City FC | D |
| 2023-03-12 | New York City FC | 1 – 0 | Inter Miami | L |
📈 Recent form
Inter Miami come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to DC United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Columbus Crew.
- WInter Miami 4-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 2-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- WInter Miami 2-0 Cruz AzulCampeones Cup
- DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
New York City FC come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Real Salt Lake. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Chicago Fire.
- LChicago Fire 2-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- DAtlanta United FC 2-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- LNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- WReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- LNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. AllendeKnee Injury
- Y. BrightFoot Injury
- F. MuraAnkle Injury
- M. SilvettiInjury
- D. BaieraKnee Injury
- A. FarnosInjury
- M. IlenicIllness
- M. MoralezKnee Injury
- K. ParksInjury
- Talles MagnoMuscle Injury
- K. TrewinAnkle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Inter Miami at 55% to win and New York City FC at 20%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami Win | 55% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 20% | @ 4.75 |
| New York City FC Win | 20% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter Miami or Draw at 1.14 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami or Draw | 79% | 82% | @ 1.14 |
| New York City FC or Draw | 44% | 38% | @ 2.62 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 88% | @ 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 | 57% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | 12% | @ 8.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline for Inter Miami vs New York City FC.
What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.90 for Inter Miami and 1.43 for New York City FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Inter Miami and New York City FC play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
RB Bragantinovs
CruzeiroBrazilian Série ATue 13 Oct00:00
Sabah FAvs
Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Lensvs
Sporting CPUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Arsenalvs
LilleUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Villarrealvs
NapoliUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Vikingvs
Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.