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⚽ Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC vs Austin Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles FC vs Austin in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Los Angeles FC face Austin in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Los Angeles FC have 1 win from their last 5, while Austin have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Los Angeles FC won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles FC vs Austin with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.53

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.66 – 1.19 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	6.9%	4.1%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.6%	11.4%	6.8%	2.7%	0.8%
2	8.0%	9.5%	5.6%	2.2%	0.7%
3	4.4%	5.2%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.8%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Los Angeles FC winDrawAustin win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Austin comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Los Angeles FC 52%Draw 27%Austin 21%

52%27%21%

52%

Los Angeles FC Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Los Angeles FC and Austin. Wins shown from Los Angeles FC’s perspective: Los Angeles FC 2 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-09-19	Los Angeles FC	1 – 1	Austin	D
2024-06-20	Austin	1 – 1	Los Angeles FC	D
2023-10-08	Austin	2 – 4	Los Angeles FC	W
2023-04-08	Los Angeles FC	3 – 0	Austin	W

📈 Recent form

Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to New York Red Bulls. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at FC Dallas.

DLos Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
LFC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
LSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
WLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer

Austin

Austin come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Vancouver Whitecaps. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at home to Nashville SC.

LAustin 1-4 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DAustin 3-3 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
WVancouver Whitecaps 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
DAustin 1-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Los Angeles FC

C. CarterArm Injury
J. EbobisseLeg Injury
T. TillmanInjury

Austin

Z. KolmanicThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Los Angeles FC at 52% to win and Austin at 21%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Los Angeles FC Win	52%	64%	@ 1.44
Draw	27%	21%	@ 4.33
Austin Win	21%	14%	@ 6.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles FC or Draw at 1.10 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Los Angeles FC or Draw	78%	86%	@ 1.10
Austin or Draw	47%	36%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	68%	61%	@ 1.53
Over 2.5	54%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	46%	40%	@ 2.35
Over 3.5	32%	39%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	22%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	45%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Los Angeles FC 65%Draw 21%Austin 15%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Austin?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs Austin?

Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Los Angeles FC vs Austin.

What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs Austin?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Los Angeles FC and 1.19 for Austin. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Los Angeles FC and Austin play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.