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⚽ La Liga

Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante in the La Liga. Kick-off Friday 16 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Deportivo La Coruña face Levante in the La Liga, kicking off Friday 16 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Deportivo La Coruña have 2 wins from their last 5, while Levante have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.5-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.33
71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.51 – 0.96 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 8.5% 8.1% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3%
1 12.8% 12.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5%
2 9.6% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3%
3 4.9% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
Deportivo La Coruña winDrawLevante win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Deportivo La Coruña 41%Draw 31%Levante 28%
41%31%28%
41%
Deportivo La Coruña Win
55%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Deportivo La Coruña

Deportivo La Coruña come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Villarreal. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Real Sociedad.

  • LReal Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
  • DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 Real BetisLa Liga
  • LDeportivo La Coruña 0-1 SevillaLa Liga
  • DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
  • WVillarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
Levante

Levante come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Real Betis. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Villarreal.

  • LVillarreal 3-1 LevanteLa Liga
  • LLevante 2-4 BarcelonaLa Liga
  • DMálaga 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
  • WLevante 5-2 Real BetisLa Liga
  • DOsasuna 0-0 LevanteLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Deportivo La Coruña at 41% to win and Levante at 28%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Deportivo La Coruña Win 41% 45% @ 2.10
Draw 31% 28% @ 3.40
Levante Win 28% 28% @ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Deportivo La Coruña or Draw at 1.30 (69% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Deportivo La Coruña or Draw 69% 72% @ 1.30
Levante or Draw 57% 55% @ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 76% 72% @ 1.33
Over 1.5 71% 75% @ 1.28
Under 2.5 55% 50% @ 1.91
Over 2.5 45% 50% @ 1.91
Under 1.5 29% 25% @ 3.75
Over 3.5 24% 28% @ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 52% 45% @ 2.05
BTTS Yes 48% 55% @ 1.70

📈 How the market moved

23%36%49%10/1110/1210/13

Deportivo La Coruña 45%Draw 27%Levante 27%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante?

Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline for Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Deportivo La Coruña and 0.96 for Levante. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Deportivo La Coruña and Levante play?

Kick-off is Friday 16 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.