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⚽ Bundesliga

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Werder Bremen face SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: Werder Bremen have 2 wins from their last 5, while SC Paderborn 07 have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 34%, projecting a 1.1-0.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.62

92%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.09 – 0.49 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	20.6%	10.1%	2.5%	0.4%	0.0%
1	22.5%	11.0%	2.7%	0.4%	0.1%
2	12.2%	6.0%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
3	4.4%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
4	1.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Werder Bremen winDrawSC Paderborn 07 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 92% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 34%. Goals lean under 2.5 (79%), both teams to score points no (74%).

📊 Key numbers

Werder Bremen 33%Draw 34%SC Paderborn 07 32%

33%34%32%

34%

Draw

79%

Under 2.5 goals

74%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to RB Leipzig. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at SC Freiburg.

DBorussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
WWerder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
D1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
WWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
LSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenBundesliga

SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Hoffenheim. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to VfB Stuttgart.

LSC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
WDC United 0-1 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
WSC Paderborn 07 3-1 HoffenheimBundesliga
LBorussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
LSC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Werder Bremen at 33% to win and SC Paderborn 07 at 32%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	34%	25%	@ 3.75
Werder Bremen Win	33%	53%	@ 1.75
SC Paderborn 07 Win	32%	22%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Werder Bremen or Draw at 1.22 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Werder Bremen or Draw	64%	78%	@ 1.22
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw	63%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 79% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	92%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	79%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	53%	19%	@ 5.00
Over 1.5	47%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	21%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 3.5	8%	41%	@ 2.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 74%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	74%	39%	@ 2.38
BTTS Yes	26%	61%	@ 1.53

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 92% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 34%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.5 scoreline for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07.

What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.09 for Werder Bremen and 0.49 for SC Paderborn 07. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.