Sat 17 Oct13:30Upcoming

⚽ Bundesliga

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Schalke 04 face FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Schalke 04 have 1 win from their last 5, while FSV Mainz 05 have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Schalke 04 win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.8-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.50

65%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.75 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.7%	5.7%	4.4%	2.3%	0.9%
1	6.5%	10.0%	7.8%	4.0%	1.6%
2	5.6%	8.8%	6.8%	3.5%	1.4%
3	3.3%	5.1%	4.0%	2.0%	0.8%
4	1.4%	2.2%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Schalke 04 winDrawFSV Mainz 05 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, with a 65% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Schalke 04 win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Schalke 04 38%Draw 27%FSV Mainz 05 35%

38%27%35%

38%

FC Schalke 04 Win

64%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Union Berlin. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at SC Freiburg.

LSC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
WAustria Lustenau 0-1 FC Schalke 04Friendlies Clubs
DFC Schalke 04 0-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
WUnion Berlin 1-3 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
DFC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern MunichBundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Hamburger SV. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to Bayer Leverkusen.

LFSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WWaldhof Mannheim 0-3 FSV Mainz 05Friendlies Clubs
WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
LFSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
WHamburger SV 0-5 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Schalke 04 at 38% to win and FSV Mainz 05 at 35%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a FC Schalke 04 win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Schalke 04 Win	38%	34%	@ 2.75
FSV Mainz 05 Win	35%	40%	@ 2.30
Draw	27%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Schalke 04 or Draw at 1.57 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Schalke 04 or Draw	65%	60%	@ 1.57
FSV Mainz 05 or Draw	62%	66%	@ 1.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	64%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 3.5	58%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 3.5	42%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 2.5	36%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	16%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	35%	38%	@ 2.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, with a 65% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our model makes a FC Schalke 04 win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05.

What is the predicted score for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.75 for FC Schalke 04 and 1.55 for FSV Mainz 05. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05 play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.