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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Round of 32
Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Friday 03 July 2026, 22:00 UTC at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami.
Result: Argentina 3-2 Cape Verde Islands
Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands finished 3-2 after extra time. Argentina won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Argentina met Cape Verde Islands in Round of 32 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami, finishing 3-2 after extra time. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Argentina win the most likely result at 84%, projecting a 2.5-0.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 15.6% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 13.1% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is both teams not to score at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates an Argentina win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 84%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (72%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50 (+1.4% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Argentina at 84% to win and Cape Verde Islands at 4%, with the draw at 12%. Our model makes an Argentina win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina Win | 84% | 1.15 | -2.9% |
| Draw | 12% | 7.00 | -16.0% |
| Cape Verde Islands Win | 4% | 18.00 | -35.2% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Argentina or the draw at 1.02 (96% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 96% | 1.02 | -1.7% |
| Argentina or Cape Verde Islands – Double Chance (12) | 88% | 1.08 | -5.0% |
| Cape Verde Islands or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 16% | 5.25 | -18.1% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-0.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.25 | +1.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 1.50 | +1.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 4.33 | -5.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 1.20 | -6.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.62 | -11.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 2.55 | -17.4% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 72%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 72% | 1.40 | +1.4% |
| BTTS Yes | 28% | 2.70 | -25.5% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Argentina or Cape Verde Islands is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina -0.5 | 84% | 1.14 | -3.8% |
| Argentina -1.5 | 63% | 1.50 | -5.8% |
| Argentina -2.5 | 39% | 2.20 | -14.4% |
| Argentina -3.5 | 20% | 4.10 | -17.2% |
| Argentina -4.5 | 9% | 7.80 | -30.6% |
| Argentina -5.5 | 3% | 16.50 | -43.9% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands prediction correct?
Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands finished 3-2 after extra time.
What is the prediction for Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands?
Our main pick is both teams not to score at odds 1.40, with 72% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 3.5 goals at 1.50 (+1.4% value).
Who is the favourite for Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands?
Our model makes an Argentina win the most likely result at 84%. It projects an expected 2.5-0.5 scoreline for Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands.
What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-0, based on expected goals of 2.53 for Argentina and 0.49 for Cape Verde Islands. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Argentina and Cape Verde Islands play?
Kick-off is Friday 03 July 2026, 22:00 UTC at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami.
Where is Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands being played?
The match takes place at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.