Sat 17 Oct14:30Upcoming

⚽ Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

ADO Den Haag face PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: ADO Den Haag have no wins from their last 5, while PSV Eindhoven have 4 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 82%, projecting a 1.0-4.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

PSV Eindhoven Win @ 1.25

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.98 – 3.98 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	0.7%	2.8%	5.6%	7.4%	7.3%
1	0.7%	2.7%	5.4%	7.2%	7.2%
2	0.3%	1.3%	2.7%	3.5%	3.5%
3	0.1%	0.4%	0.9%	1.2%	1.2%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%

Projected score: 0-3

ADO Den Haag winDrawPSV Eindhoven win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is a PSV Eindhoven win at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 82%. Goals lean over 2.5 (86%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

ADO Den Haag 8%Draw 10%PSV Eindhoven 82%

10%82%

82%

PSV Eindhoven Win

86%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Twente.

DTelstar 2-2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
DADO Den Haag 1-1 CambuurEredivisie
LTwente 2-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
LADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
DFeyenoord 2-2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Sparta Rotterdam. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Twente.

WPSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenEredivisie
LTwente 3-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League
WAjax 1-3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices ADO Den Haag at 8% to win and PSV Eindhoven at 82%, with the draw at 10%. Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PSV Eindhoven Win	82%	75%	@ 1.25
Draw	10%	15%	@ 6.25
ADO Den Haag Win	8%	10%	@ 9.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.07 (94% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PSV Eindhoven or Draw	94%	90%	@ 1.07
ADO Den Haag or Draw	20%	25%	@ 3.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-4.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 86% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	95%	90%	@ 1.06
Over 2.5	86%	77%	@ 1.22
Over 3.5	72%	59%	@ 1.57
Under 3.5	28%	41%	@ 2.25
Under 2.5	14%	23%	@ 4.20
Under 1.5	5%	10%	@ 10.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	39%	38%	@ 2.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our model's pick is a PSV Eindhoven win at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 82%. It projects an expected 1.0-4.0 scoreline for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven.

What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-3, based on expected goals of 0.98 for ADO Den Haag and 3.98 for PSV Eindhoven. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do ADO Den Haag and PSV Eindhoven play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.