Sat 17 Oct18:45Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Lille vs Brest Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lille vs Brest in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lille face Brest in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Lille have 3 wins from their last 5, while Brest have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Lille won 1, Brest won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lille win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.8-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lille vs Brest with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.44

69%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.79 – 1.01 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	6.1%	3.1%	1.0%	0.3%
1	10.9%	11.0%	5.6%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.7%	9.8%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
3	5.8%	5.9%	3.0%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.6%	2.6%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Lille winDrawBrest win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lille vs Brest comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lille win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Lille 56%Draw 26%Brest 18%

56%26%18%

56%

Lille Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Lille and Brest. Wins shown from Lille’s perspective: Lille 1 · 3 drawn · Brest 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-14	Lille	1 – 1	Brest	D
2025-08-17	Brest	3 – 3	Lille	D
2025-05-10	Brest	2 – 0	Lille	L
2024-12-06	Lille	3 – 1	Brest	W
2024-03-17	Brest	1 – 1	Lille	D

📈 Recent form

Lille

Lille come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Estac Troyes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Nice.

WLille 1-0 Le HavreLigue 1
WLille 2-1 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
LNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
WLille 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
LLille 2-3 Real BetisUEFA Champions League

Brest

Brest come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Angers. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Auxerre.

WBrest 5-1 AngersLigue 1
DBrest 2-2 MonzaFriendlies Clubs
LAuxerre 2-1 BrestLigue 1
LBrest 0-1 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
WLe Havre 1-2 BrestLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lille at 56% to win and Brest at 18%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Lille win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille Win	56%	54%	@ 1.73
Draw	26%	25%	@ 3.80
Brest Win	18%	21%	@ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lille or Draw at 1.18 (81% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille or Draw	81%	79%	@ 1.18
Brest or Draw	42%	46%	@ 2.05

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	69%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	53%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	47%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	31%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	23%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	47%	44%	@ 2.10

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lille vs Brest?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Lille vs Brest?

Our model makes a Lille win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline for Lille vs Brest.

What is the predicted score for Lille vs Brest?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.79 for Lille and 1.01 for Brest. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lille and Brest play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.