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⚽ Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Sparta Rotterdam face Willem II in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Sparta Rotterdam have no wins from their last 5, while Willem II have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.67

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.74 – 1.14 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	6.4%	3.6%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.8%	11.1%	6.3%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.5%	9.7%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.9%	5.6%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.1%	2.4%	1.4%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Sparta Rotterdam winDrawWillem II win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.67, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Sparta Rotterdam 46%Draw 30%Willem II 24%

46%30%24%

46%

Sparta Rotterdam Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II. Wins shown from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective: Sparta Rotterdam 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-03-02	Sparta Rotterdam	4 – 0	Willem II	W
2024-08-31	Willem II	1 – 2	Sparta Rotterdam	W

📈 Recent form

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Heerenveen.

DGo Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
LSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
LPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LExcelsior 2-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie

Willem II

Willem II come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Utrecht.

LUtrecht 3-1 Willem IIEredivisie
LWillem II 0-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LAjax 5-1 Willem IIEredivisie
DAZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem IIEredivisie
LWillem II 0-3 ExcelsiorEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sparta Rotterdam at 46% to win and Willem II at 24%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sparta Rotterdam Win	46%	61%	@ 1.53
Draw	30%	21%	@ 4.33
Willem II Win	24%	18%	@ 5.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sparta Rotterdam or Draw at 1.17 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw	74%	82%	@ 1.17
Willem II or Draw	52%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	83%	@ 1.14
Under 3.5	67%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	55%	64%	@ 1.48
Under 2.5	45%	36%	@ 2.60
Over 3.5	33%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	22%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	43%	41%	@ 2.25

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.67, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 56%.

Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

Our model makes a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II.

What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.14 for Willem II. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.