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⚽ La Liga

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Madrid vs Sevilla in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Real Madrid face Sevilla in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Real Madrid have 3 wins from their last 5, while Sevilla have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Real Madrid won 5. The bookmaker market makes a Real Madrid win the most likely result at 76%, implying a 2.8-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Madrid vs Sevilla with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Real Madrid win	76%
Draw	14%
Sevilla win	10%
Over 2.5 goals	70%
Both teams to score	52%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.75 – 0.90 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.6%	2.3%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
1	7.1%	6.4%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
2	9.8%	8.8%	4.0%	1.2%	0.3%
3	9.0%	8.1%	3.6%	1.1%	0.2%
4	6.2%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-0

Real Madrid winDrawSevilla win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Real Madrid vs Sevilla. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Real Madrid win is the most likely result at 76%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 70%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Real Madrid 76%Draw 14%Sevilla 10%

76%14%10%

76%

Real Madrid Win

70%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Real Madrid and Sevilla. Wins shown from Real Madrid’s perspective: Real Madrid 5.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-17	Sevilla	0 – 1	Real Madrid	W
2025-12-20	Real Madrid	2 – 0	Sevilla	W
2025-05-18	Sevilla	0 – 2	Real Madrid	W
2024-12-22	Real Madrid	4 – 2	Sevilla	W
2024-02-25	Real Madrid	1 – 0	Sevilla	W

📈 Recent form

Real Madrid

Real Madrid come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Rayo Vallecano. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Atlético Madrid.

WReal Madrid 1-0 VillarrealLa Liga
LAtlético Madrid 2-1 Real MadridLa Liga
WElche 2-3 Real MadridLa Liga
WReal Madrid 4-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
WReal Madrid 2-1 InterUEFA Champions League

Sevilla

Sevilla come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Deportivo La Coruña. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Aston Villa.

LSevilla 1-3 Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs
LSevilla 1-3 BarcelonaLa Liga
WDeportivo La Coruña 0-1 SevillaLa Liga
WSevilla 1-0 ValenciaLa Liga
DEspanyol 1-1 SevillaLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Real Madrid at 76% to win and Sevilla at 10%, with the draw at 14%. The bookmaker market makes a Real Madrid win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Real Madrid Win	76%	@ 1.25
Draw	14%	@ 7.00
Sevilla Win	11%	@ 9.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Madrid or Draw at 1.07 (90% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Real Madrid or Draw	89%	@ 1.07
Sevilla or Draw	24%	@ 3.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.8-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	70%	@ 1.36
Under 3.5	53%	@ 1.80
Over 3.5	47%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	48%	@ 1.95

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Real Madrid win is the most likely result at 76%.

Who is the favourite for Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

Our model makes a Real Madrid win the most likely result at 76%. It projects an expected 2.8-0.9 scoreline for Real Madrid vs Sevilla.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.75 for Real Madrid and 0.90 for Sevilla. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Real Madrid and Sevilla play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.