ModenaModena
Sat 24 Oct13:00Upcoming
CesenaCesena

⚽ Serie B

Modena vs Cesena Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Modena vs Cesena in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Modena face Cesena in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Modena have 2 wins from their last 5, while Cesena have no wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Modena win the most likely result at 60%, implying a 1.9-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Modena vs Cesena with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Modena win 60%
Draw 25%
Cesena win 16%
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.95 – 0.90 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.3% 10.2% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3%
2 11.0% 9.9% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3%
3 7.1% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
Modena winDrawCesena win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Modena vs Cesena. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Modena win is the most likely result at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Modena 60%Draw 25%Cesena 16%
60%25%16%
60%
Modena Win
55%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Modena

Modena come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Hellas Verona. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Carrarese.

  • LCarrarese 2-1 ModenaSerie B
  • WModena 3-2 Hellas VeronaSerie B
  • WModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
  • DSudtirol 1-1 ModenaSerie B
  • LModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B
Cesena

Cesena come into this game with no wins and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Benevento.

  • DCesena 1-1 AvellinoSerie B
  • LBenevento 2-0 CesenaSerie B
  • DJuve Stabia 1-1 CesenaSerie B
  • DCesena 2-2 CremoneseSerie B
  • DCesena 1-1 MantovaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Modena at 60% to win and Cesena at 16%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a Modena win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Modena Win 60% @ 1.57
Draw 25% @ 3.80
Cesena Win 16% @ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Modena or Draw at 1.12 (84% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Modena or Draw 84% @ 1.12
Cesena or Draw 40% @ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% @ 1.22
Under 3.5 66% @ 1.40
Over 2.5 55% @ 1.73
Under 2.5 45% @ 2.08
Over 3.5 34% @ 2.75
Under 1.5 23% @ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 52% @ 1.80
BTTS No 48% @ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

12%39%66%10/1910/2010/2110/2210/2310/24

Modena 60%Draw 25%Cesena 16%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Modena vs Cesena?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Modena win is the most likely result at 60%.

Who is the favourite for Modena vs Cesena?

Our model makes a Modena win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline for Modena vs Cesena.

What is the predicted score for Modena vs Cesena?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.95 for Modena and 0.90 for Cesena. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Modena and Cesena play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.