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⚽ Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs Nashville SC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CF Montreal vs Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 17:30 UTC.

CF Montreal face Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: CF Montreal have 1 win from their last 5, while Nashville SC have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, CF Montreal won 1, Nashville SC won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.0-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CF Montreal vs Nashville SC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.53
70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.03 – 1.75 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.2% 10.9% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4%
1 6.4% 11.2% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5%
2 3.3% 5.8% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3%
3 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
CF Montreal winDrawNashville SC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for CF Montreal vs Nashville SC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Nashville SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

CF Montreal 29%Draw 24%Nashville SC 47%
29%24%47%
47%
Nashville SC Win
53%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between CF Montreal and Nashville SC. Wins shown from CF Montreal’s perspective: CF Montreal 1 · 1 drawn · Nashville SC 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2024-05-25 CF Montreal 0 – 0 Nashville SC D
2024-05-05 Nashville SC 4 – 1 CF Montreal L
2023-06-21 CF Montreal 1 – 0 Nashville SC W
2023-03-12 Nashville SC 2 – 0 CF Montreal L

📈 Recent form

CF Montreal

CF Montreal come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to FC Cincinnati. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Atlanta United FC.

  • DSeattle Sounders 1-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • LCF Montreal 0-3 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
  • LToronto FC 2-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • WCF Montreal 3-1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • LCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Nashville SC

Nashville SC come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Sporting Kansas City. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • DSan Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • WNashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
  • WAustin 1-4 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • WNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
  • WNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices CF Montreal at 29% to win and Nashville SC at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Nashville SC Win 47% 57% @ 1.62
CF Montreal Win 29% 20% @ 4.75
Draw 24% 23% @ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nashville SC or Draw at 1.18 (72% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Nashville SC or Draw 72% 80% @ 1.18
CF Montreal or Draw 54% 43% @ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 76% 81% @ 1.17
Under 3.5 70% 61% @ 1.53
Over 2.5 53% 60% @ 1.57
Under 2.5 47% 40% @ 2.35
Over 3.5 30% 39% @ 2.38
Under 1.5 24% 19% @ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 52% 42% @ 2.20
BTTS Yes 48% 58% @ 1.62

📈 How the market moved

15%39%63%10/1910/2010/2110/22

CF Montreal 19%Draw 22%Nashville SC 58%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?

Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.8 scoreline for CF Montreal vs Nashville SC.

What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.03 for CF Montreal and 1.75 for Nashville SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do CF Montreal and Nashville SC play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.