⚽ Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers vs Charlotte Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Portland Timbers face Charlotte in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Portland Timbers have no wins from their last 5, while Charlotte have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.7-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Portland Timbers win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (69%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Portland Timbers come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- DPortland Timbers 0-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- DSporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- LSan Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- LPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
Charlotte come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to FC Dallas. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Columbus Crew.
- DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 3-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- WCharlotte 3-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- LCharlotte 0-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. BonetigShoulder Injury
- B. ByeLeg Injury
- Z. McGrawBack Injury
- J. MosqueraFoot Injury
- AntonyKnee Injury
- H. SulteLower-Body Injury
- F. SurmanKnee Injury
- N. BerchimasFoot Injury
- A. GoodwinFoot Injury
- A. JohnShoulder Injury
- A. DoucoureNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Portland Timbers at 37% to win and Charlotte at 30%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers Win | 37% | 48% | @ 1.91 |
| Draw | 33% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Charlotte Win | 30% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Portland Timbers or Draw at 1.33 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers or Draw | 67% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Charlotte or Draw | 60% | 52% | @ 1.83 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 | 50% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 12% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 31% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
Our model makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.9 scoreline for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte.
What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for Portland Timbers and 1.91 for Charlotte. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Portland Timbers and Charlotte play?
Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


