FC Thun

Sun 25 Oct2-3Finished

FC Lugano

⚽ Super League

FC Thun vs FC Lugano Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Thun vs FC Lugano in the Super League. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Thun 2-3 FC Lugano

FC Thun vs FC Lugano finished 2-3. FC Lugano won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Thun face FC Lugano in the Super League, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: FC Thun have 1 win from their last 5, while FC Lugano have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, FC Lugano won 3. The bookmaker market makes a FC Lugano win the most likely result at 51%, implying a 1.4-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Thun vs FC Lugano with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
FC Thun win	25%
Draw	24%
FC Lugano win	51%
Over 2.5 goals	67%
Both teams to score	66%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.40 – 2.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	6.5%	6.7%	4.6%	2.3%
1	4.4%	9.1%	9.3%	6.4%	3.3%
2	3.1%	6.4%	6.5%	4.5%	2.3%
3	1.5%	3.0%	3.1%	2.1%	1.1%
4	0.5%	1.0%	1.1%	0.7%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-2

FC Thun winDrawFC Lugano win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of FC Thun vs FC Lugano. Based on the bookmaker odds, a FC Lugano win is the most likely result at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 67%. Both teams to score: yes at 66%.

📊 Key numbers

FC Thun 25%Draw 24%FC Lugano 51%

25%24%51%

51%

FC Lugano Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between FC Thun and FC Lugano. Wins shown from FC Thun’s perspective: FC Lugano 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-25	FC Thun	2 – 3	FC Lugano	L
2026-04-25	FC Thun	0 – 1	FC Lugano	L
2026-04-04	FC Lugano	1 – 0	FC Thun	L

📈 Recent form

FC Thun

FC Thun come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to FC Lugano.

LFC Thun 2-3 FC LuganoSuper League
LFC Thun 0-1 HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference
DFC Schaffhausen 1-1 FC ThunSchweizer Cup
LTwente 1-0 FC ThunUEFA Europa Conference
LFC Zurich 4-2 FC ThunSuper League

FC Lugano

FC Lugano come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 19 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Pully Football. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFC Thun 2-3 FC LuganoSuper League
WGetafe 2-5 FC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference
WPully Football 0-4 FC LuganoSchweizer Cup
WFC Lugano 3-2 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Europa Conference
WFC Lugano 4-0 FC LuzernSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Thun at 25% to win and FC Lugano at 51%, with the draw at 24%. The bookmaker market makes a FC Lugano win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
FC Lugano Win	51%	@ 1.85
FC Thun Win	25%	@ 3.75
Draw	24%	@ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Lugano or Draw at 1.25 (75% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
FC Lugano or Draw	75%	@ 1.25
FC Thun or Draw	49%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	67%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	51%	@ 1.80
Over 3.5	49%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	33%	@ 2.88
Under 1.5	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	@ 1.40
BTTS No	34%	@ 2.75

📈 How the market moved

FC Thun 26%Draw 23%FC Lugano 52%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Thun vs FC Lugano?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a FC Lugano win is the most likely result at 51%.

Who is the favourite for FC Thun vs FC Lugano?

Our model makes a FC Lugano win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline for FC Thun vs FC Lugano.

What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs FC Lugano?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.40 for FC Thun and 2.05 for FC Lugano. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Thun and FC Lugano play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.