Fakel
Rodina Moskva⚽ Premier League
Fakel vs Rodina Moskva Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Result: Fakel 0-1 Rodina Moskva
Fakel vs Rodina Moskva finished 0-1. Rodina Moskva won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Fakel face Rodina Moskva in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: Fakel have 1 win from their last 5, while Rodina Moskva have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Rodina Moskva won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Fakel win the most likely result at 46%, implying a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Fakel win | 46% |
| Draw | 29% |
| Rodina Moskva win | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Fakel vs Rodina Moskva. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Fakel win is the most likely result at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 55%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Fakel and Rodina Moskva. Wins shown from Fakel’s perspective: Rodina Moskva 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Fakel | 0 – 1 | Rodina Moskva | L |
| 2026-04-13 | Fakel | 1 – 3 | Rodina Moskva | L |
📈 Recent form
Fakel come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at FC Krasnodar. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Rodina Moskva.
- LFakel 0-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
- WKrylia Sovetov 1-2 FakelPremier League
- WFC Krasnodar 0-2 FakelCup
- LFakel 0-5 LokomotivPremier League
- WFakel 1-0 FC VitebskFriendlies Clubs
Rodina Moskva come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Fakel. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at home to Spartak Moscow.
- WFakel 0-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
- DRodina Moskva 2-2 FC OrenburgPremier League
- LRodina Moskva 2-4 Spartak MoscowCup
- LCSKA Moscow 3-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
- LDynamo 3-2 Rodina MoskvaFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- S. MagkeevInjury
No absentees reported.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Fakel at 46% to win and Rodina Moskva at 25%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Fakel win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fakel Win | 46% | @ 2.08 |
| Draw | 29% | @ 3.35 |
| Rodina Moskva Win | 25% | @ 3.85 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | @ 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | @ 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| Under 1.5 | 29% | @ 3.26 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | @ 3.77 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Fakel win is the most likely result at 46%.
Who is the favourite for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?
Our model makes a Fakel win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Fakel and 1.00 for Rodina Moskva. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Fakel and Rodina Moskva play?
Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 12:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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