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⚽ Premier League

Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Manchester City vs Brighton in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Manchester City face Brighton in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Manchester City have 4 wins from their last 5, while Brighton have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Brighton won 2, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Manchester City win the most likely result at 56%, implying a 2.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Manchester City vs Brighton with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Manchester City win	56%
Draw	23%
Brighton win	21%
Over 2.5 goals	66%
Both teams to score	62%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.10 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	4.4%	2.7%	1.1%	0.4%
1	7.4%	9.2%	5.8%	2.4%	0.7%
2	7.7%	9.7%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%
3	5.4%	6.8%	4.2%	1.8%	0.6%
4	2.8%	3.6%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Manchester City winDrawBrighton win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Manchester City vs Brighton. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Manchester City win is the most likely result at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 66%. Both teams to score: yes at 62%.

📊 Key numbers

Manchester City 56%Draw 23%Brighton 21%

56%23%21%

56%

Manchester City Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Manchester City and Brighton. Wins shown from Manchester City’s perspective: Manchester City 1 · 2 drawn · Brighton 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-07	Manchester City	1 – 1	Brighton	D
2025-08-31	Brighton	2 – 1	Manchester City	L
2025-03-15	Manchester City	2 – 2	Brighton	D
2024-11-09	Brighton	2 – 1	Manchester City	L
2024-04-25	Brighton	0 – 4	Manchester City	W

📈 Recent form

Manchester City

Manchester City come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to AEK Athens FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Aston Villa.

LAston Villa 2-1 Manchester CityPremier League
WManchester City 5-1 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
WManchester City 3-2 IpswichPremier League
LManchester City 2-4 Paris Saint-GermainUEFA Champions League
WLiverpool 0-3 Manchester CityPremier League

Brighton

Brighton come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 0. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Crystal Palace.

DFK Jablonec 0-0 BrightonUEFA Europa Conference
WBrighton 5-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
WBrighton 4-0 Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa Conference
WSunderland 0-2 BrightonPremier League
WBrighton 3-0 ArsenalPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Manchester City at 56% to win and Brighton at 21%, with the draw at 23%. The bookmaker market makes a Manchester City win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Manchester City Win	57%	@ 1.65
Draw	23%	@ 4.10
Brighton Win	21%	@ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Manchester City or Draw at 1.20 (79% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Manchester City or Draw	79%	@ 1.20
Brighton or Draw	43%	@ 2.15

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	66%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	55%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	45%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	38%	@ 2.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Brighton?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Manchester City win is the most likely result at 56%.

Who is the favourite for Manchester City vs Brighton?

Our model makes a Manchester City win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline for Manchester City vs Brighton.

What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Brighton?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Manchester City and 1.25 for Brighton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Manchester City and Brighton play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.