⚽ Primeira Liga
Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:30 UTC.
Moreirense face Estrela da Amadora in the Primeira Liga, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:30 UTC. Recent form: Moreirense have 2 wins from their last 5, while Estrela da Amadora have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Moreirense won 1, Estrela da Amadora won 1, 3 drawn. The bookmaker market makes an Estrela da Amadora win the most likely result at 40%, implying a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Moreirense win | 31% |
| Draw | 29% |
| Estrela da Amadora win | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Estrela da Amadora win is the most likely result at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 52%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Moreirense and Estrela da Amadora. Wins shown from Moreirense’s perspective: Moreirense 1 · 3 drawn · Estrela da Amadora 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Moreirense | 3 – 2 | Estrela da Amadora | W |
| 2025-12-20 | Estrela da Amadora | 0 – 0 | Moreirense | D |
| 2025-03-02 | Moreirense | 1 – 1 | Estrela da Amadora | D |
| 2024-09-28 | Estrela da Amadora | 2 – 1 | Moreirense | L |
| 2024-04-07 | Moreirense | 2 – 2 | Estrela da Amadora | D |
📈 Recent form
Moreirense come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Marítimo. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at AVS.
- LAVS 1-0 MoreirenseTaça de Portugal
- LMoreirense 0-1 Gil VicentePrimeira Liga
- DVitória SC 1-1 MoreirensePrimeira Liga
- WMoreirense 3-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
- LMoreirense 0-4 BenficaPrimeira Liga
Estrela da Amadora come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Fazendense. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Casa Pia.
- LEstrela da Amadora 0-2 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
- WFazendense 1-2 Estrela da AmadoraTaça de Portugal
- LArouca 1-0 Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga
- LEstrela da Amadora 0-2 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga
- DRio Ave 3-3 Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Moreirense at 31% to win and Estrela da Amadora at 40%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes an Estrela da Amadora win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Estrela da Amadora Win | 40% | @ 2.40 |
| Moreirense Win | 31% | @ 3.05 |
| Draw | 29% | @ 3.28 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 73% | @ 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | @ 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | @ 1.99 |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | @ 3.47 |
| Under 1.5 | 27% | @ 3.54 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Estrela da Amadora win is the most likely result at 40%.
Who is the favourite for Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora?
Our model makes an Estrela da Amadora win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Moreirense and 1.40 for Estrela da Amadora. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Moreirense and Estrela da Amadora play?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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