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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Quarter-final
Norway vs England Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Norway vs England at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Saturday 11 July 2026, 21:00 UTC at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami.
Result: Norway 1-2 England
Norway vs England finished 1-2 after extra time. England won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.44, landed.
Norway met England in Quarter-final of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami, finishing 1-2 after extra time. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an England win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.2-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Norway vs England with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Our prediction for Norway vs England is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates an England win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (50%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 2.10 (+6.7% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Norway at 22% to win and England at 54%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes an England win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| England Win | 54% | 1.86 | +0.1% |
| Draw | 24% | 3.65 | -11.3% |
| Norway Win | 22% | 3.85 | -15.7% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is England or the draw at 1.22 (78% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| England or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 78% | 1.22 | -4.7% |
| Norway or England – Double Chance (12) | 76% | 1.22 | -7.6% |
| Norway or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 46% | 1.91 | -11.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 2.10 | +6.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | 1.44 | +4.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 26% | 3.95 | +2.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 1.25 | -7.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 1.70 | -16.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 2.75 | -24.9% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 50% | 2.15 | +6.4% |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.62 | -18.2% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Norway or England is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway +3.5 | 96% | 1.02 | -2.6% |
| Norway +2.5 | 87% | 1.10 | -4.0% |
| Norway +1.5 | 71% | 1.32 | -6.7% |
| Norway +0.5 | 46% | 1.93 | -10.8% |
| Norway -0.5 | 22% | 3.80 | -16.8% |
| Norway -1.5 | 8% | 7.80 | -40.7% |
| Norway -2.5 | 2% | 13.00 | -74.0% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Norway vs England prediction correct?
Norway vs England finished 1-2 after extra time. Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.44, landed.
What is the prediction for Norway vs England?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with 73% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 2.10 (+6.7% value).
Who is the favourite for Norway vs England?
Our model makes an England win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.7 scoreline for Norway vs England.
What is the predicted score for Norway vs England?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Norway and 1.74 for England. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Norway and England play?
Kick-off is Saturday 11 July 2026, 21:00 UTC at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami.
Where is Norway vs England being played?
The match takes place at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.