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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Quarter-final
Argentina vs Switzerland Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Argentina vs Switzerland at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Sunday 12 July 2026, 01:00 UTC at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City.
Result: Argentina 3-1 Switzerland
Argentina vs Switzerland finished 3-1 after extra time. Argentina won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.40, landed.
Argentina met Switzerland in Quarter-final of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, finishing 3-1 after extra time. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Argentina win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.6-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Argentina vs Switzerland with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Argentina vs Switzerland is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates an Argentina win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is an Argentina win at odds 1.68 (+5.2% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Argentina at 63% to win and Switzerland at 15%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes an Argentina win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina Win | 63% | 1.68 | +5.2% |
| Switzerland Win | 15% | 5.40 | -19.5% |
| Draw | 22% | 3.45 | -22.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Argentina or the draw at 1.14 (85% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 85% | 1.14 | -3.0% |
| Argentina or Switzerland – Double Chance (12) | 78% | 1.25 | -3.1% |
| Switzerland or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 37% | 2.10 | -21.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 4.20 | +4.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.20 | +1.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 1.40 | +0.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 75% | 1.22 | -8.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.65 | -11.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 2.88 | -18.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.70 | -3.8% |
| BTTS Yes | 43% | 2.05 | -11.0% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Argentina or Switzerland is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina -2.5 | 17% | 6.25 | +6.9% |
| Argentina -1.5 | 36% | 2.85 | +4.0% |
| Argentina -0.5 | 63% | 1.65 | +3.3% |
| Argentina +2.5 | 99% | 1.00 | -0.9% |
| Argentina +0.5 | 85% | 1.15 | -2.1% |
| Argentina +1.5 | 96% | 1.02 | -2.3% |
| Argentina -3.5 | 6% | 12.00 | -22.0% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Argentina vs Switzerland prediction correct?
Argentina vs Switzerland finished 3-1 after extra time. Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.40, landed.
What is the prediction for Argentina vs Switzerland?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with 72% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is an Argentina win at 1.68 (+5.2% value).
Who is the favourite for Argentina vs Switzerland?
Our model makes an Argentina win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline for Argentina vs Switzerland.
What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Switzerland?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Argentina and 0.79 for Switzerland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Argentina and Switzerland play?
Kick-off is Sunday 12 July 2026, 01:00 UTC at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City.
Where is Argentina vs Switzerland being played?
The match takes place at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.