⚽ Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Auxerre Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Strasbourg vs Auxerre in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Strasbourg face Auxerre in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Strasbourg have no wins from their last 5, while Auxerre have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Strasbourg won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 2.0-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Strasbourg vs Auxerre with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Strasbourg vs Auxerre comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Strasbourg or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Strasbourg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Strasbourg and Auxerre. Wins shown from Strasbourg’s perspective: Strasbourg 3 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Auxerre | 0 – 0 | Strasbourg | D |
| 2025-10-29 | Strasbourg | 3 – 0 | Auxerre | W |
| 2025-03-02 | Auxerre | 0 – 1 | Strasbourg | W |
| 2025-01-05 | Strasbourg | 3 – 1 | Auxerre | W |
📈 Recent form
Strasbourg come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Rennes.
- LRennes 3-0 StrasbourgLigue 1
- LStrasbourg 1-3 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
- LNice 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
- LParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
- DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
Auxerre come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Le Havre. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Rennes.
- DAuxerre 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
- WLe Havre 1-3 AuxerreLigue 1
- LRennes 4-1 AuxerreLigue 1
- WAuxerre 2-1 BrestLigue 1
- WAuxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Strasbourg at 50% to win and Auxerre at 24%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg Win | 50% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | @ 3.80 |
| Auxerre Win | 24% | 24% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Strasbourg or Draw at 1.25 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg or Draw | 76% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Auxerre or Draw | 49% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 56% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Our model's pick is Strasbourg or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline for Strasbourg vs Auxerre.
What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.01 for Strasbourg and 1.37 for Auxerre. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Strasbourg and Auxerre play?
Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


