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⚽ Eredivisie

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 15:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Groningen face Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 15:45 UTC. Recent form: Groningen have 2 wins from their last 5, while Sparta Rotterdam have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Groningen won 1, Sparta Rotterdam won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Groningen win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.44

61%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.90 – 1.26 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	5.3%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%
1	8.1%	10.2%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.7%	9.6%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
3	4.8%	6.1%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.3%	2.9%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Groningen winDrawSparta Rotterdam win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 61% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Groningen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Groningen 46%Draw 29%Sparta Rotterdam 26%

46%29%26%

46%

Groningen Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam. Wins shown from Groningen’s perspective: Groningen 1 · Sparta Rotterdam 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-31	Sparta Rotterdam	2 – 0	Groningen	L
2025-10-19	Groningen	0 – 2	Sparta Rotterdam	L
2025-02-02	Sparta Rotterdam	1 – 0	Groningen	L
2024-11-09	Groningen	1 – 0	Sparta Rotterdam	W

📈 Recent form

Groningen

Groningen come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at Excelsior. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-5 at home to Ajax.

DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 GroningenEredivisie
LGroningen 2-5 AjaxEredivisie
WExcelsior 1-5 GroningenEredivisie
WGroningen 3-0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
DGo Ahead Eagles 1-1 GroningenEredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Willem II. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Ajax.

LSparta Rotterdam 1-2 AjaxEredivisie
WSparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem IIEredivisie
DGo Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
LSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
LPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Groningen at 46% to win and Sparta Rotterdam at 26%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Groningen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Groningen Win	46%	55%	@ 1.70
Draw	29%	23%	@ 4.00
Sparta Rotterdam Win	26%	22%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Groningen or Draw at 1.22 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Groningen or Draw	73%	78%	@ 1.22
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw	53%	45%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	61%	65%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	61%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	39%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	39%	35%	@ 2.70
Under 1.5	18%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	39%	35%	@ 2.62

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 61% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our model makes a Groningen win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam.

What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.90 for Groningen and 1.26 for Sparta Rotterdam. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 15:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.