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⚽ Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Monaco Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Paris FC vs Monaco in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 16:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Paris FC face Monaco in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 16:15 UTC. Recent form: Paris FC have 2 wins from their last 5, while Monaco have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Paris FC won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Paris FC win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.6-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Paris FC vs Monaco with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.57

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.64 – 1.67 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.7%	6.1%	5.1%	2.8%	1.2%
1	6.0%	10.0%	8.4%	4.6%	1.9%
2	4.9%	8.2%	6.8%	3.8%	1.6%
3	2.7%	4.5%	3.7%	2.1%	0.9%
4	1.1%	1.8%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Paris FC winDrawMonaco win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Paris FC vs Monaco comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.57, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Paris FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Paris FC 37%Draw 28%Monaco 35%

37%28%35%

37%

Paris FC Win

64%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Paris FC and Monaco. Wins shown from Paris FC’s perspective: Paris FC 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-10	Paris FC	4 – 1	Monaco	W
2025-11-01	Monaco	0 – 1	Paris FC	W

📈 Recent form

Paris FC

Paris FC come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at home to Rennes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Lens.

LLens 2-1 Paris FCLigue 1
WParis FC 4-3 RennesLigue 1
LLorient 1-0 Paris FCLigue 1
WParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
DParis FC 0-0 LyonLigue 1

Monaco

Monaco come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to SC Freiburg. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Lorient.

DMonaco 1-1 LilleLigue 1
WMonaco 3-0 SC FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference
LLorient 1-0 MonacoLigue 1
WCSKA Sofia 1-2 MonacoUEFA Europa Conference
DMonaco 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Paris FC at 37% to win and Monaco at 35%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Paris FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Paris FC Win	37%	42%	@ 2.20
Monaco Win	35%	32%	@ 2.90
Draw	28%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Paris FC or Draw at 1.40 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Paris FC or Draw	64%	68%	@ 1.40
Monaco or Draw	62%	58%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	78%	@ 1.22
Over 2.5	64%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 3.5	58%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 3.5	42%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 2.5	36%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	16%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	34%	41%	@ 2.25

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paris FC vs Monaco?

Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.57, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Paris FC vs Monaco?

Our model makes a Paris FC win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.7 scoreline for Paris FC vs Monaco.

What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Monaco?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.64 for Paris FC and 1.67 for Monaco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Paris FC and Monaco play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 16:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.